I don’t think it does . Other than GFS everything is or has been shifting west . I fully expect to wake up to a full model suite jacking NW of CT up to SNH
Until I’m looking out the window at pouring rains.. I am not going to think it’s going to be inches of rain coming like these guys are forecasting on here . I do hope like I did last week that they are correct . Maybe this one is it. These warm frontal setups like this love to favor the orographic areas from NW NJ to WNE up into S NH. That’s just how I envision it. I could see the Cape getting next to nothing.
What do you think ?
My mental picture of qpf is NW Jersey up thru E NY , NW CT up to Hunch as 1-3” as Jack . I think everyone SE of there rains , probably in the .25-.50 range including this area . Probably one narrow screwgie under .25 east of the river to Cape
If tomorrow somehow falls apart or is incorrectly modeled too far south and east today .. things really get dire with more hot sunny humid weather for another week . I don’t think tomorrow is going to give everyone an inch . Whatever we get will have to work . Just hope this doesn’t keep shifting NW
Can envision the bulk of the good rains moving over ENY and NW CT up to Hunch area . SE of there it’ll probably rain but may not be beneficial. We’ll see