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Damage In Tolland

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  1. Damage In Tolland
    20% of a direct hit at day 9. Not leaning toward a miss . Said cannot go higher than 20% hit at this distance . And he generally Poo poos everything in winter and tropics .
  2. Damage In Tolland
    Science
  3. Damage In Tolland
    I am on team Shabbs. The fact he is invested is VERY telling
  4. Damage In Tolland
    No one in the wx community or not would call or consider this a cool chilly summer . It simply wasn’t . It was warm and humid and wet .
  5. Damage In Tolland
    There’s no way you or anyone else knows how the pattern and storm track are going to evolve 9 days out. Right now anything is equally possible . And that is fact. No option is favored
  6. Damage In Tolland
    In the winter you’d have 14 animations showing a hit . And then it would miss . This is fascinating
  7. Damage In Tolland
    Ding ding ding . That offsets any blues
  8. Damage In Tolland
    We question and call bluff https://x.com/tollandkev/status/1699548004951236820?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  9. Damage In Tolland
    Does ACATT agree with that?
  10. Damage In Tolland
    How often has your AC been on?
  11. Damage In Tolland
    Foliage season is going to be brutal. The wet humid summer already had the season as pastel and blights . Add in a cane throwing salt water way inland and leaf stripping and tree damage. There may not be one at all
  12. Damage In Tolland
    That’s what Shabbs always tells . HDD and CDD. Who cares if temps were -1 if it’s humid? That’s why no one cares about tenps. It’s dews
  13. Damage In Tolland
    Post cooling degree days
  14. Damage In Tolland
    No one said they did . But there is a vast misconception that it was cool summer . It was not
  15. Damage In Tolland
    The mean continues shifting west on both EPS and GEFS
  16. Damage In Tolland
    Yes it was. The degree days spell it out . We had a 5-6 week period of some of the highest consistent dews our region has ever seen . The fact that June and Aug show pretty blue doesn’t mean it was a cool chilly summer
  17. Damage In Tolland
    Each run farther west . Things you love to see
  18. Damage In Tolland
    This was a warm humid summer . The silly blues in June don’t account for the actual degree days and cooling data
  19. Damage In Tolland
    WCS!
  20. Damage In Tolland
    Maybe we’ll get back to back cat 3 -4 hits from both in SNE!
  21. Damage In Tolland
    See summer / fall of 38’ leading up to cane. Interesting correlation to this year
  22. Damage In Tolland
    The pieces are there … in one big chess game ….
  23. Damage In Tolland
    Torch!
  24. Damage In Tolland
    Which is why we’ve seen the continued west trend each set of ensemble runs . Stronger riding and trough backing west. Tit for tat. Still a bit of work and bumping.. but 9 days out much can happen
  25. Damage In Tolland
    Doesn’t a stronger storm help flex the ridge which in turn should buckle the trough west and sharper? There seems a direct correlation. Whereas a cat 1 would be much less likely to do that
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