Well the dry pattern analogged well . Every single dry fall also led to a dry winter. December came in normal to a bit AN Precip so I thought.. well maybe the analogs were wrong this winter But Jan went right back to fall pattern . What I was incorrect on was the mild. I didn’t think it would be cold and dry . Feb is looking back and forth on temps so that part remains to be seen . But the overall dry pattern looks to continue
Fast confluent flow and wide open Atlantic argues for a suppressed , southern slider . Not going to amp some strong cutter. Probably ends up period of rain or mix in hills going to snow for all before ending . Minor system