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Damage In Tolland

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  1. In summer whenever I see models dump high qpf from some sort of coastal I always toss because generally convection is going to keep high qpf closer to coast and convection . In winter that’s why I go more expansive. You’re going to throw moisture well north and west with cold ocean and no convection . Today may have had a few inches up to VT today in winter
  2. If you took away the summer moisture content from ocean . This gets pulled west in winter .It had due East inflow . There was quite a bit of convection over the Cape so moisture transport west was robbed. It’s pretty easy to envision a heavy deform band at least to river if this was Jan or Feb
  3. Today we had a fall like storm but summer moisture so the storm didn’t pulled in closer . Take away the summer moisture and this would have been that
  4. I have a very strong suspicion you’re gonna have a nice visit from gypsies this coming spring . As dry as your area was over the last 1-2 years.. and they were already close by . They coming
  5. In winter this would have been different precious wise with baroclinic process. Would have thrown 6-12 to River . Almost exact evolution of the Morch firehose if this had been winter and not summer
  6. You did it just like you did in the snow drought . You talked about it enough and it did a complete 180. Stein to drown . Meanwhile interior SNE wilts and burns .48 since Aug 26th
  7. Today’s general model consensus has a few showers mid week and has such a strong high that it never allows any tropical moisture up here from the cane . Stein is hard and heavy .
  8. You were inside looking out. We were outside looking at you inside
  9. If this had been winter.. we’d have seen minimally 6-12” back to the River and 3-6 to NY border. Interesting how the same setup in late summer yields dry with rain confined to far ENE.. baroclinic processes
  10. Day 14 in a row no rain . Highly doubt a wet week coming with the strong High to the north. We’ll see
  11. Congrats Scooter in S Wey. He managed to pull 1-3” . Similar to a winter tantrum where he would pull 1-3 ‘. https://x.com/ryanhanrahan/status/1837282595207352636?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  12. Burning https://x.com/ericfisher/status/1837263896949796996?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  13. Models are losing the showers next week . Block is the heavy
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