This is far from true in SE and SW screamer wind events like this.We’re gonna be ripping 50-60+ gusts for many hours out of directions trees are not accustomed to. NW wind events I’ll give you This is going to cause huge problems
I’ve always said that . I grew up in the 70’s and 80’s when we didn’t get huge storms often. That’s why I welcome all snow events . Even 1” is fine. I’d rather those every week than waiting all winter for one 12” storm
It seems like right near and then after the front with SW winds is when it goes wild. SE and SW wind direction always do most damage to trees since they are used to the NW winds . Isaias great example of that
It really is Ninas and tropical forcing. They just can’t resolve it. There is zero skill on MR and LR forecasting . You just have to toss all of it, analogs etc.. and just go off pattern recognition. Ninos are much better
It really is amazing how bad computer modeling screw shit up in Nina’s. Can you imagine living in Chicago thinking you’d have 1-2 feet and a region crippling blizzard not 2 days ago and are now looking at nothing. At least with us when it showed the blizzard it was 7-10 days out . And it was only 1 day. You almost just have to forecast off of knowledge