Damage In Tolland

Any thoughts on how many more inches in CT?

Same here my man

That area tends to get hosed more often than not

When you post these you should really state where because for most SNE posters this is nothing but a warm high wind flooding rainer

There’s a nice East/ west band heading our general direction. We’ll see I suppose

Another 2-4 is lame?

Lots of doubters about this incoming round 2 . Theylll see

Coming together nicely for a snowy afternoon from NYC north and east

I don’t know. I planned on 5-6” here from round 1 and either 1-3 or 2-4” from round two . So far that’s panned out and what the HRRR had

Hate to say it .. continue riding HRRR

It’s been pretty bad so far . It was better from 7 days out than it was after it already started snowing . HRRR since early yesterday morning has done very well.

Most modeling has things really not getting going until we get towards late morning and thru the afternoon.

AWT

They were shot down out of the sky. Gone

There are some outages

Warmest it got was 31.6 slipping back down now . Steady snow increasing in intensity

2-4” Tuesday night/ Wed and another 2-4” next weekend

Yup.. it’s coming together very well . 6” here . Thinking 2-4” more

Radar exploding just to the SW

It’s filling in nicely out over NE PA and ENY

Wind Signals... Confidence still is the highest at this point for strong to damaging winds. The latest NAEFS/EPS guidance keeps trending upward. Currently showing winds 4-6 STD above model climatology! Ensembles indicating this at the 850 hPa level, which are progged at this point by deterministic guidance with speeds of 60-90+ kts generally out of the south. The big question is how much of these winds mix down. At this point are only starting to get on the outer periphery of the NAM guidance for Bufkit soundings, so have focused on the GFS Bufkit soundings for now. At this point they show 60-70 kts of winds roughly 500-1000 ft AGL across the Cape/Islands. Further inland values are still nothing to scoff at with 40-50 kts roughly 1000 ft AGL. Would like to get more of a look at the NAM and convective allowing guidance window to have a better feel on the mixing, as the GFS tends to overmix. Given the signals have still stuck with the higher NBM guidance (tends to overdue winds). The EPS guidance continuing to indicate moderate to high probs (40-100%) of gusts AOA 50 kts across the eastern MA coast. Further inland probs are low to moderate (<10 to 40%) from eastern CT into RI and eastern portions of central MA. The EPS also still showing low to moderate (10-60%) probs of gusts AOA 64 kts across SE MA, Cape Ann and the waters. Anticipate that High Wind Watches will be needed in later updates for the land. Looks like there will be at least Storm Force gusts, but may actually be a situation where we need Hurricane Force Wind Watches in later updates. For context last time we needed to issue a Hurricane Force Wind Watch (or Warning) was in March of 2018.

5.9” snowing nicely . 31. 3 Radar looks good

Looks like round will rip for all later this morning with at least 2-4”

It’s already wrong in CT