Not making a forecast 5 days out . What I see now in terms of huge gradient .. warm day and cold aloft.. it seems 50+ is possible for most locations . Need to see what slp is Fri morning
I wish I could recall the storm . But there’s some other posters that have commented they remember it. All pressure gradient /mixing derived. Very similar
With 50-60 gusts there sure is. Sit back and watch . Huge pressure gradient. We’ve seen these before. Envision a bunch of WTF posts on Saturday from folks about not expecting strong winds until too late
There was a very similar setup in the 2000-2004 period . I don’t remember the exact year or cane. But we lived on n our first house here after getting married and there many 55-65 mph gusts and damage. Very similar setup . The caveat this year is how wet ground is. Lots of uproots
I expect to wake up to a “ significant “ west trend on most guidance tonight. Based off of EPS, cane models and the trogh dig, ridge strengthening and storm slowing that the globals only now .. and slowly at that.. will begin to pick up on.