Damage In Tolland

https://x.com/jhomenuk/status/1733962292184699226?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Just hit the 1” mark. First round overperformed. 4-6” more?

.75 here

Several pieces of guidance show the possibility of the low stalling, or even backbuilding a bit, overnight, which would prolong the duration of heavy precip. The overall QPF forecast remains consistent with the previous shift, with a maximum of 4-6", perhaps locally higher, forecast over east central Connecticut and central Massachusetts. HREF ensemble consistency has been rather remarkable over the last few runs, with little to no wobble in the anticipated axis of heaviest precipitation and consistency in the 24 hour LPMM (best reasonable guess for maximum precip potential) showing a widespread swath of 5- 7" across the aforementioned region. While it may seem insignificant, both the CMC and GEFS ensembles show bullseyes of 10-30% probabilities of 4" of QPF or greater over Tolland/Windham County Connecticut; which is marked as a considerable signal for significant precip in terms of global guidance. Thus, with all things above considered, collaborated with WPC and our neighboring WFOs to upgrade the Excessive Rainfall Outlook to MODERATE, to highlight the increased potential for flash flooding.

https://x.com/contentwxguy/status/1733931332974129186?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Don’t worry most of it falls well wnw of you

Here it comes

I thought you had him on ignore?

Only one?

That’s one way to take the Oaks down.

Href ups ante and mod risk for excessive rains. Who will see 8+?!

Noyes in house model https://x.com/mattnbcboston/status/1733860065537397021?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

4-7” of rain and 45mph gusts is not what I was envisioning . https://x.com/nwsboston/status/1733840034346963200?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

So sad it’s come to this . All people have to talk about is rain and argue over millibars . Another month of this coming too .

Had the storm gone west like had been modeled all the high winds would have been realized here and where you live. The east shift this morning took that away . We do live in damaging wind area. Especially here . You were right , for the wrong reason lol

I gave up on anything over 45 mph here. Now it’s just tracking boring rains to Maines .And then we do it again next weekend and the one after

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?opt=curr&day=1

And if the NAM at 12z continues to back west?

6z Beer?

https://x.com/surfskiweather/status/1733838913297428835?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Nam went west .

So many examples of how snowy December can be and used to be https://x.com/nwsboston/status/1733833945211646133?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Clocks are ticking … patience until the days before Xmas.. if it’s pushed back more… pain

From here up thru Templeton