I think this kind of event happens quite often in NNE in coastals that hit all of SNE hard. There almost always is a sneaky and unmodeled band that drops 6-12” + way north. Sometimes along the -8C line . With the storm shifting south yesterday that zone ended up south of where you’d normally see it
I think we “myself included” missed the fronto forcing aspect of this as it’s typically a NNE thing in coastals. Ryan, Scoots, Will mentioned it in various degrees but I think that is what most of us missed . Focused on the south shift and qpf cuts