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Damage In Tolland

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  1. There’s absolutely no reason to not think 2-4 ends up in southern 2/3 of CT and 1-3 to pike. Confluence weakening in models at 3day lead. On queue
  2. 18z Euro another bump north. It is on .
  3. 1-3” to the pike at a minimum is becoming increasingly likely . It’s the north trend
  4. Gusting over 50 now. Even ORH 53. All going as expected
  5. The first half of the month seemed favorable too.. until it didn’t
  6. Biggest rips were always late morning and afternoon with heating . They coming
  7. I thought you weren’t looking more than 5 days ahead?
  8. It’s really not even a cold pattern . Just normal cold
  9. Your area never looked as windy. Obviously haven’t looked at much if a few gusts to 40 is the call . As we begin to tap into the stronger winds aloft, we may see wind gusts as strong as 45 mph in the high terrain and over the islands overnight. The peak of the winds for all of SNE, however, comes Thursday, as a warming surface promotes better mixing down from the top of the mixed layer. A Wind Advisory is in effect for all of southern New England where gusts are generally expected to be 45-55 mph. However, isolated stronger gusts are possible, up to 60 mph in spots, especially in the highest elevations.
  10. So just toss all guidance ? No gusts over 50? Good luck bro . That’s bad
  11. Still pretty warm at 34.9.. I saw the hi res printing out 1-2” but I knew most of that was above freezing . Probably not much
  12. In that era I mentioned . The north trend was born. Friends became separated and enemies were made
  13. No spiking anything until we see if this trend is real. But this is so typical of models overdoing TPV confluence past 5 days and weakening closer in . It happened so often in the early and mid 2000’s. Hopefully the trend is real and continues
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