At 18z models were mainly dry and had it all east. Instead it’s going be dry there and pour all day here. Radar looks like .50 or more . Even this morning BOX had it dry here and raining EMA. Busts all around
General thinking is showers are possible in any
location, but will be more widespread east of the Worcester metro
area. In fact, the CT River Valley may "luck out" with a primarily
dry day as weak high pressure attempts to nudge in from the
southwest. While it will a dreary and rather chilly day, with little
to no diurnal swing in temps from current obs (in the 50s and
low 60s, west), QPF will be minimal, with HREF ensemble mean
QPF around 0.1" across Middlesex and Essex Counties. Should high
pressure be able to scatter out a few breaks of sunshine across
western MA, could see temps warm briefly into the mid to upper
60s in places like Hartford and Springfield.