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Damage In Tolland

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  1. Big uns and day tomorrow. Might be somewhat similar to Wednesday nite The main forecast concern will be the potential for strong to severe t-storms in the afternoon and evening as a strong cold approaches from the west. The increasing forcing for ascent will likely result in a greater areal coverage of storms. Mid level lapse rates are marginal, but the heat and high dewpoints should make up for this with CAPES likely reaching 1500-2500 J/kg in the interior. This instability combined with impressive deep layer shear of 40-50 kt is very favorable for organized storms. Given strong linear forcing ahead of the front, storms will likely organize into line segments or even some sort of QLCS as indicated by all the hi-res CAMs. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat, but can`t rule out large hail or even a tornado if any discrete supercells can develop. SPC SREF showing moderate probs of STP > 1. Best chance of severe weather will likely be north and west of I-95 due to marine layer near the coast and CSU machine learning probs and HREF updraft helicity are highlighting the interior for severe weather. Also can`t rule out locally heavy rainfall and flooding from t-storms but severe weather appears to be the greater threat.
  2. https://x.com/danbury_wx/status/1807036758372061368?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  3. HRRR run after run crushes. It was phenomenal with the storms Wed nite
  4. https://x.com/tim_grooms/status/1806780089469698321?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  5. Sunday could be as big as Wednesday night except all of New England instead of just SNE. Put that silly product away
  6. Days and days and days of dews and dews and dews.
  7. Weekend shaping to be a classic HHH with lots of sun in SNE and a PM storm Sunday. One slight mild down early week and then it’s HHH the rest of next week and beyond .
  8. My wife always wanted to take the fam to Acadia for summer vacation. And I would not do it. I don’t want to go a cold summer climate to vacation . It’s a beautiful area . But I’m not vacationing somewhere that requires hoodies and likely won’t get above 72. I’ll go there in the fall sure . When I’m not in summer mode .
  9. That’s just not a place I’d ever consider vacationing in summer . It’s bound to be miserable . You either go to Cape or go south
  10. Next door neighbors had a tree snapped in backyard.. so there is that
  11. Mets worried? https://x.com/ryanhanrahan/status/1806311904324780310?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  12. Sunday could be flooders and some wet micro bursts in places
  13. No congrats here locally as just some leaves and branches down . The highest winds split Tolland north and south. But to have 50k out of power statewide this morning from a derecho is pretty nice
  14. It will be classified as a derecho once they do their surveys
  15. There will be some big damage pics out of CT tomorrow. Thats for sure . Good night y’all
  16. Kind of had a split here. If you look at radar . One went north and one south. Had a gust to I’d say 50 ish . Branches hitting house off trees etc. but nothing I haven’t seen a bunch of times. Good storm to be sure. But the elusive killer whale got off my line yet again. Until next time .
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