Damage In Tolland

Especially when it wasn’t modeled or forecast . To go from a scattered shower to a day long soaking rain is enough to just take a bat to every window in the house

They had a totally dry forecast for CT today. In the morning AFD. Meanwhile somewhere in Tolland ….. half an inch and counting . I admitted I was wrong. They should too . It’s ok to be wrong and admit it.

Now they slowly , sneakily admit to their bust of having a dry forecast 1015 AM Update: Not much change from previous forecast, cloudy with periods of light rain and drizzle. Not a washout, but more nuisance rain. Currently some enhancement to the rainfall taking place across the Worcester Hills. This is in response to NE flow up to 19 kt at KORH, providing upslope component. Otherwise, it`s periods of light rain/drizzle. Rain shield struggling to reach western MA/CT, as low level jet weakens westward. In fact, across this region there are some breaks in the overcast and dry weather yielding temps in the low 60s. Meanwhile, the remainder of the region is stuck in the 50s. Normal high for May 18th is 67-72. Thus, much cooler than normal especially across eastern MA and RI. Previous discussion below. ---------------------

At least our Sunday will be nice while out east stays cloudy and cool . I’ll take solace in that and look forward to returning the posting favors tomorrow

What I meant though .. was it seemed like a shower here and there. Nothing.. nothing had an all day deform zone rotting over a narrow area . I’m already at .30. Show me a model that had these 1” amounts up thru 18z yesterday that we’re going to get

What looked like maybe a scattered shower on models yesterday has turned into an all day soaking rain of .50-1”. It’s literally just unbelievable how bad modeling was

Did you read anything I posted and what BOX put out this morning? All was unexpected

What exactly is causing this gangbang in a shed rain band ?

It is absolutely pouring. Dendy just pointing and laughing .

At 18z models were mainly dry and had it all east. Instead it’s going be dry there and pour all day here. Radar looks like .50 or more . Even this morning BOX had it dry here and raining EMA. Busts all around General thinking is showers are possible in any location, but will be more widespread east of the Worcester metro area. In fact, the CT River Valley may "luck out" with a primarily dry day as weak high pressure attempts to nudge in from the southwest. While it will a dreary and rather chilly day, with little to no diurnal swing in temps from current obs (in the 50s and low 60s, west), QPF will be minimal, with HREF ensemble mean QPF around 0.1" across Middlesex and Essex Counties. Should high pressure be able to scatter out a few breaks of sunshine across western MA, could see temps warm briefly into the mid to upper 60s in places like Hartford and Springfield.

I’ll take the loss today. Gonna be a bust . Somehow being positive led to the rain deciding to rot from CT to ORH all day . Models certainly didn’t have that but yet here we are. Kev FTL on all counts.

Sunny breaks approaching HFD now.

Have had a few sprinkles .

He had mentioned Somers so it seemed like he meant there as there’s acres and acres of dead Oaks from the gypsies

Couple drops falling now

That moved thru here with nothing. Not reaching ground with subsidence pressing in from west You can see the sunny breaks moving in from W CT and E NY now on viz

Oh I’ve seen them. They died years ago. Most of them have blown down or have been taken down. The area on Soapstone is all dead Oaks .

Not a drop no

No need. I live less than 10 minutes from there . Oaks

We’ve been over this many times. The confused emoji means the poster is confused on what they posted. Not the person clicking the emoji. I drive thru there all the time near Soapstone Mountain . Those are all dead Oaks. The Gypsy moths decimated that area a few years ago.

60’s n dry here.51 n rains there

EPS has nothing of the sort . Ease back

Enjoy a cool rainy Winni weekend?

I’ll be 65-68.. with enough breaks nearing 70. And dry. That’s the key