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Damage In Tolland

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Everything posted by Damage In Tolland

  1. Someone posted that last week about forsythia blooming by this weekend
  2. I bet he never thought even a few weeks ago, that he’d be doing spring lawn cleanup last week of Morch there.
  3. That was the first and last morning run in daylight until late Mayorch. DST FTL
  4. It’s recognizing what the pattern is, what the atmosphere globally is going to yield locally , looking at past similar setups e.g analogs, indicies such as record +AO(which is SNE most important indicator) and a little bit of interpreting modeling and then tweaking their output based on the current atmospheric and local weather results.
  5. Snowing and 34.0 here .How will it accumulate out East?
  6. That has to be one of the most disturbing comments I’ve ever read .
  7. I do think a certain element to wx forecasting has nothing to do with science. There is a piece that is based on experience . If it’s full science , it’s likely wrong
  8. Like if you thought luck was involved in weather forecasting?
  9. Persistence meaning not snowing . Basically the pattern this winter after mid Dec was storms cutting west dragging in warmth ORH south or coastals missing and hitting the Maritimes. This one was not a window and did not have a chance if you went with patterns repeating. Just like in 2015 when they all hit. You just forecasted that. This year you just forecast a miss .
  10. That’s what Will, Ray others have had. Hope. That’s dangerous
  11. Only if you bought into it and thought it had a chance. If you didn’t and didn’t track every model run, it wasn’t
  12. This wasn’t a tease. Other than a few who don’t think persistence was the was way to go after Jan, most didn’t think this had a chance other than maybe a graze .
  13. You know me and my years. That was it I guess . I thought 81 was the bitter Nov and Dec and then it ended . Like this winter which was a bit warmer those 2 months
  14. Ginx mentioned it way back in Jan and was tossed on here. It was close.
  15. Even though it was largely tossed.. the 1981analog worked out almost perfectly.
  16. There’s been no legit windows or opp since mid Jan.There hasnt been anything over the last days with a chance unless one was hanging onto a hope . And there’s certainly zero chance rest of month. Glad to see everyone finally moving on
  17. Mitch was posting and tweeting that he had 2-3 months ago f snowpack as late as last week. We told him late Morch. We tried to tell em and warn em
  18. A few of us recognized late Jan it was over. Pattern persistence. Warm breeds warm. We sister 2012
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