Thus if model soundings are adjusted for surface temps in the
60s Mon afternoon, this will support wind gust potential of 60 mph
to possibly as high as 70 mph across the entire region. Strongest
winds likely across central and northern portions of CT/RI including
Providence and into interior southeastern MA.
All hell gonna break loose for us
The highly anomalous nature of the low level jet according to MOS guidance and GEFS would argue in favor of a potentially widespread damaging wind event on Monday afternoon and evening. 12z guidance show a 90 kt low level jet at 850mb. GEFS ensemble guidance shows 925 mb winds at 5-6 standard deviations above normal.