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wxmanmitch

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by wxmanmitch

  1. D+/C- season here with a 143.5" season total. Yes, I have very high expectations...an a A range winter needs to drop at least 200". I would've given the winter a full letter grade higher if it weren't for the lack of consistent cold and the frequent rain and mixer events. Snow pack retention was below normal as well, especially with January's brutal mega torch that pretty much wiped out all of the November and December snow. Oh well, on to next season.
  2. 79°/64° F off a high of 82° F. Awful, I hate it, especially since there's so little breeze. I didn't reach or exceed 80° F until July 4th last year. Black flies have been brutal lately, but don't seem quite as bad today due to the heat. No deer flies yet, but they won't be far behind with this type of weather.
  3. Typically 850 to 900 mb, but I've seen blocked or slightly blocked flow occur if there's more of a northerly component to the wind in the low levels or weaker westerly flow without much evidence of an inversion. The stronger the cross barrier component of the wind and, of course, the lower the stability, the higher the Froude number will be. Looking back on it in more detail, there was likely some synoptic forcing mechanism that was enhanced by upslope behind those totals as opposed to just pure upslope. Many of these backside events are wrap around comma heads with NW flow, but the maxes with this one seemed a bit further west than usual. Shaftsbury, VT (10.5") and Cambridge, NY (12") are not typically spots that jackpot in these setups. Usually it's a bit to the east near the crest of the spine. How much of this was the result of synoptics vs. upslope is difficult to pin down and would make for a good case study subject. I measured 7.5-8" in Woodford at 10 AM, so the 8.5" report from 7:30 AM is legit. Even the east side of Bennington at 900' had 6-7". I finished with 5.0", but the Deerfield Valley towns just to my east had less than an inch. Very sharp gradients that were not as dependent on elevation as I would've anticipated.
  4. I'll head up to Woodford in a little to see if that 8.5" is legit, but I think it is. Likely some blocked upslope going on the west side of the Taconics and Greens that led to those 8-9" totals.
  5. 5.0" looks to be the final here as the sun comes out. Tough to measure due to the winds blowing around dry, fluffy nature of the snow. It's wet at the bottom. Depths ranged from 4.5" to 5.5". Had a low temperature of 22.6° F at 8 AM with a midnight "high" of 29.2° F. I wonder if I verify a subfreezing high today? It'll be close since that May sun is intense. Although May snow is not uncommon here (I had 3.3" last year on the 14th of the month), this type of snow is. It's like midwinter.
  6. A dime a dozen. Lots of homes and lots for sale...
  7. I only exceeded 80° F 4 times last summer, all in July. Max was 83.0° F on July 20th. I'm sure there have been numerous summers here that have failed to reach 80° F.
  8. 137.4". This will likely be the final season total unless we get something in May, which isn't all that uncommon here.
  9. 2.9" here. Disappointment. Measured at 6:30 AM before any melting started. Radars looked good for a bit in the late evening last night when I posted but then the dry slot moved back in. We had light snow through the night from upslope, but I don't upslope as efficiently with a NE wind compared to up by Mt. Snow or Stratton. Needs to be more E to SE here.
  10. Dumpity, dump! It's puking snow now with good snow growth. Close to an inch.
  11. 30.9° F with a sleety snow. Ground is white, maybe a 1/2"? Quite windy too. I'm missing out on the good dynamics so far, but it's cold and windy giving it a wintry feel.
  12. Sneaky warm nose way up there at 700-750 mb on the NAM down here. Verbatim it's rain to snow to sleet then back to snow since we wet bulb before warming aloft. Low levels are absolutely frigid though with at or below freezing surface temps. Could be ice pellets and 31° F here while it's snow at 34° F in Dendrite's area.
  13. 18z NAM is a little cooler FWIW. We'll see what 00z does.
  14. Watching another one get ripped out from under my feet. Wagons N and E of here as the dynamics and better saturation in DGZ appear to be heading that way. Mesos look almost a bit sleety and icy here too thanks to WAA aloft. Euro has a dry slot. It's happened with pretty much every single friggin storm this winter save for the early December deal that had a big overachieving WCB on the first night of the event. Even the CCB part of that event largely missed this location. That said I still think I get some snow, but probably not enough to be of much consequence. Maybe 1-2" of slop? I guess I'll have to drain the remaining fuel in my snow blower...
  15. Quite cold here, 29.2° F with a fine, dry snow falling. QPF trends don't look that good here compared to 12z runs so we have the cold, but not the QPF. Jackpot probably ends up somewhere in the Becket, MA to Goshen, CT corridor.
  16. Keweenaw Peninsula of Upper Michigan north of Houghton on US 41. I follow a Facebook page that regularly posts updates from there and they get tons of snow! They are closing in on 300" for the season near Calumet. With a band of SW to NE oriented hills that can catch some upslope enhancement too, they get crushed with NW flow. A lot of it is lake effect fluff, but they've had their share of synoptic snows too. And being at the same latitude of the crown of Maine, they have good retention as well. The summers are absolutely beautiful up there being surrounded by the frigid waters of Lake Superior. Lots of nice chilly, overcast days with occasional fog and drizzle and none of that HHH crap. My kind of climate! Obviously, my life is here, so not likely I move anytime soon. Snow is like heroin, you just can't enough of it.
  17. Not sure why people in Maine are complaining! I'd kill for a nice April snow bomb. So jealous. I don't care when it is, but I'm always in snowstorm mode. Besides it'll probably melt within few days or a week anyways. My best hope is for some upslope Thursday night and Friday after the cold rain and possible low topped convection. Maybe I get an inch or two. The NAMmy is up to its usual nonsense of putting out a foot+ of upslope here.
  18. Thanks, I did find the lot in question in Searsburg. 256 acres for $229K. https://www.realtor.com/realestateandhomes-detail/245-Route-8_Searsburg_VT_05363_M99787-41776?view=qv
  19. The S VT plateau is one of the most under appreciated snow belts in all of New England IMO and it can rival some of the big ones like the Rangeley, ME area. Like Will (ORH_wxman) mentioned average annual snowfall can be above 150" in these parts. 3 foot+ snow packs are not uncommon. I had ~150" last winter and probably 200-210" the year before. I moved here at the beginning of March 2018, so while my sample size is small, we did have a 4 and half foot pack in mid March that year. Who knows what it would've been if it weren't for the ridiculous late February torch that year too. I've had ~120" so far this season, which isn't all that bad despite being somewhat below normal. We've had considerably worse (i.e. '15-'16, '11-12, '05-'06, '01-'02). The big drawback this winter has been the frequent rains and torches, especially the one in the second week of January that nearly wiped out our snow pack from November and December. As it stands, the snowfall is about a C/C+, the winter overall a D+. My peak depth was in the high 20s back in late February so we did make a recovery in late January and February with frequent small to medium events, most of which included some rain or mix. There are some insane gradients around here, so be careful if snow is a top priority. As a rule of thumb, if you're above 2,000' and within a few miles of the 73° W longitude line, you'll do quite well. The Wardsboro, Jamaica, Dover, etc, area does well in nor'easters and with cold air damming overrunning events, but doesn't get as much as the backside W and NW upslope that Woodford, Searsburg, and my location in the far NE corner of Stamford does. I get a nice mix of snow from coastals, upslope, and overrunners. The nice thing about this location is not being too far away from the cities. Albany, NY is 90 minutes, Hartford, CT 2 hours, Boston 3-3.5 hours, and NYC 3.5-4 hours. The small cities of North Adams, MA are 20 minutes, Pittsfield, MA 50-55 minutes, and Bennington 30-35 minutes away, so there's none of this hour+ drive stuff just to go to a grocery store or Walmart supercenter like you might have up in Rangeley, ME or Pittsburg, NH. As for 30 acre+ plots, they are around if you look. There's a 49 acre plot at like 1,700-1,800' near here in Stamford that's $150K. It won't get quite as much snow as I do just up the hill at 2,230', but still does quite well. There's at least one more up on route 8 in Searsburg at 2,300'-2,400' just north of the wind turbines. It's a roadside sign, and I can't find it online, so I'm not sure what the price or acreage is. That is an absolutely crazy spot for snow...at least as good as my spot.
  20. The meteorology behind this incoming event fascinates me. It's basically a lot like the vast majority of events I've had this winter except rotated around 180°. So, basically a NEFE instead of a SWFE. WAA and overrunning from the NE instead of the SW with a big low to the SE as opposed to the NW. I start as wet snow and then go to freezing rain and rain like a lot of the events this winter. It'll be interesting to see how the terrain around here interacts with a veering NW to NE flow. Here's the SWFE in reverse (NEFE) sounding for 00z tomorrow night around here. Pretty neat.
  21. A little late to update after the past event due to a Macbook battery replacement (I keep all of my snow info in a spreadsheet), but I'm at 100.5". I guess that puts me in the century club! Depth is ~25". I was at 102.8" on this day last year with just over a two foot depth as well. It's amazing how similar this winter is compared to last year. Both had a big post Thanksgiving snowstorm followed by an abundance of SWFEs. Last year was a little colder overall though, especially January, and was snowier up north relative to average. Please correct me if my memory is wrong though.
  22. Up to 89.6" for the season. The next event should definitely get me into the 90s.
  23. 55.5", 25.5" from December 1-2. Probably running around average thanks to that one storm. Everything else has been nickels and dimes.
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