I think the snow amounts on the NAM were somewhat impacted by the overall QPF and QPF intensity. Which those two things are notoriously difficult to model. Overall progression on the NAM was great.
12Z Euro noticeably snowier than 0Z. I don’t have access to 6Z to compare to that run however. R/S line on 12Z struggles to move past Lebanon county this run.
Really positive GFS run for those of us riding the line. Shifted some of the minor accumulations about 20 miles south and east of us which gives just a hair breathing room. I also thought it could have been better…when the main slug of precip arrived the GFS was a smidge colder but did something weird with the intensity. Gets the coastal organized more quickly just offshore which would help us with the BL issues.
One thing I’ve noticed on models starting last night was a pretty significant increase in precip intensity along and to the northwest of the R/S line. So while the storm is moving along quickly it seems the intensity could be decent.
Not sure the doom and gloom is warranted based on the EPS. I think it’s a little deceiving having the OP end at 90. The heaviest precip wasn’t here yet.