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GrandmasterB

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Everything posted by GrandmasterB

  1. GrandmasterB
    I'm assuming it's way OTS and here are my 7 irrational reasons why that's actually great for our snow chances.
  2. GrandmasterB
    Feels good to be back. I'm ready to over-analyze any and all model runs.
  3. GrandmasterB
    Current snowfall intensity report: Ripping
  4. GrandmasterB
    Mix of rain and sleet at 6am, but mostly all snow now. Intensity picking up. Should be a wild run for the next 5 hours!
  5. GrandmasterB
    Hour 14 on the RGEM is like a map I would draw to dream about. Those are some rates!
  6. GrandmasterB
    This is how we run HH friends!
  7. GrandmasterB
    YOOOOOOOOOO!!!
  8. GrandmasterB
    When MU honks then I know it's on. Let's go weenies, this should be a fun one!
  9. GrandmasterB
    Looked like a general (but small) increase across the board vs. the 6Z run. I'll gladly take a widespread 4-6! Will be interesting with the east move if the counties under the watch get upgraded to warnings.
  10. GrandmasterB
    I went back through some early pages and outside of one NAM and one RGEM run nothing showed 2 feet. Even those runs were like 12-15" in the absolute max areas. Certainly not enough to warrant a forecast of 1-2 feet. Hopefully it's a nice spread of those who get a precip max (maybe east but who knows) or higher ratios and everyone can get a nice event!
  11. GrandmasterB
    I just had to bun a lot of you weenies. All of a sudden we're poo-pooing 3-6"?? That's warning criteria down here...and it's almost mid-March! CTP mentions in the a.m. write up that those to the west missing the heavy QPF are going to get good ratios, so can we temper the bridge jumping? Now if all the 12Z runs shift east...I'll be right there with you!
  12. GrandmasterB
    I checked in to see the euro and damn…not dissapointed!
  13. GrandmasterB
    Doesn't throw much precip back after the front clears. Common issue in this situation.
  14. GrandmasterB
    I thought the 12Z GFS was an improvement vs. 6Z and the 12Z CMC was an improvement vs. 0Z. GFS looks to be the furthest west of models right now. Guess I'll invest emotionally one last time this winter! Let's do it.
  15. GrandmasterB
    Hard to believe we just toss the Euro, but the RGEM snow map looks much more realistic and the Euro has not been great around here this winter.
  16. GrandmasterB
    I'll take 3-6" on the deck and call it a winter! Could be nice rates in the morning too.
  17. GrandmasterB
    I love where I'm at. Although I'd like Vermont too, but the wife has vetoed it for now! 18Z GFS ups snow across the board...more importantly shows some accums south of our area. I'm not giving up on this one yet!
  18. GrandmasterB
    In fairness to you, I'm a mile from the Lebanon border and at 600'. I still think this could surprise in the border counties with some elevation.
  19. GrandmasterB
    I looked at the HRRR and it shows 5-6 hours of snow and 2" accumulation in my hood. I didn't think it looked all that bad really. I'd sign on that real quick. I think we can punt road accumulations, but I'm not turning my nose up at 6 hours of moderate snow.
  20. GrandmasterB
    I thought the 12Z Euro was slightly colder than 0Z and was close to a wet snow bomb for Lebanon/Schuylkill on north and west. One thing going for it on that run was the slightly earlier onset of precip. If we can get decent rates early in the morning that would really help. Speaking about tonight/tomorrow.
  21. GrandmasterB
    Acceptable event IMO. Deck encased in ice, trees and anything elevated has a solid layer on it. I'll take it in a winter that has only handed us scraps!
  22. GrandmasterB
    If it's cold enough tonight and we don't get the precip I may have to meltdown on here. I apologize in advance.
  23. GrandmasterB
    Occasional sleet pellets. Temp stuck at 30 all morning. 12Z GFS is a colder run but shifted best precip north again.
  24. GrandmasterB
    Whoa! Those are big time numbers. Going to be interesting tomorrow if this continues as modeled.
  25. GrandmasterB
    Great discussion and comments today from everyone. It's a double-edged sword for sure. You throw the watches up early and the impact busts (usually does for ice) then people are hesitant to trust it next time. The time it does verify though and you have a .5 to 1" of sleet with some freezing rain on top and the travel impacts are more severe than a 6" snow. Definitely a tough one to forecast for our area!
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