Jns2183

As of 1258 Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Warm nose was between 775mb and 700mb peaking at 750mb. Sterling height beam at 8100 feet is just about 750mb CTP beam 6100 feet is about 800mb Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

14 miles in 12 minutes Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Definitely seems like it's crashing Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

I'm at 11" so far Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

From KLWX 12:04 to 12:46 Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

12:22pm to 12:40pm the sleet line crashed 23miles in 20 minutes. Maybe this is what @MAG5035 was talking about with the coastal ramping up. Some models did have line crashing. To early to tell Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

The 3k nam from 0Z last night had them at 0.50" as of noon. Which seems to have been the theme of the name since Virginia. Correct with the thermals, horrible with qpf. Which is why total accumulation was off. Also once the sleet started I hope everyone with boards took measurements and cleared board. Sleet on top of dry snow = big compression. To get accurate accumulation you have to measure the sleet portion of storm seperate Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

I'm fast approaching 11". It's a crazy heavy mix with visibility well less than a mile Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Not unless your willing to shoot the Euro and every model but the RRPS and NAM because they all were similar in the end Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

The current precipitation regime is a hybrid of partial melting-refreezing aloft and active low-level crystal growth, resulting in a sleet-needle mixture with significantly higher accumulation ratios than standard ice pellets. While the marginal +1.0^\circ\text{C} warm nose provides the energy to collapse snowflakes into dense sleet cores, the saturated sub-freezing head below supports independent crystal growth within the -3^\circ\text{C} to -5^\circ\text{C} needle habit window. These acicular needles act as a structural "filler" between the falling ice pellets, trapping additional air gaps and preventing the efficient packing typically seen with smooth, spherical sleet. This microphysical "scaffolding" pushes the sleet-to-liquid ratio (SLR) from a standard 2:1 or 3:1 up toward a crunchier 4:1 to 6:1 range, leading to a faster-accumulating, lower-density ice mat on the ground. Made it to 10" before pingers Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

I'm just happy it was off the storm total. You already blew by it's total storm accumulation from last night Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

9.25". Crazy rates. If I can hold change over enough 30min I'll be over 10" Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

I'm just happy I have additional support for my totals due to not measuring my board setup for several hours due to sleep. Definitely have had a bit of a crazy band setup over me Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

8.5" Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Over 8" This might be one of the more insane temperatures gradients Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

It also went back and forth forth for a couple hours after first pingers 1" last 30 min 7.75' Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

1/4mile visibility Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

1/2" in 17min Finally past my NAM storm snowfall prediction Arkansas areas got 8" of sleet Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

I think it slows down approach from south but increases from the east. You look at sleet line now it's basically flat. This starts tilting it some. Depends on how fast it takes over and starts pulling down cold at mid levels. We still fully changed over but for next few hours we have prime forcing. If we can hold out 3 hours that's another 3-6" on top of what we have now. The better the forcing that longer we can hold of. Happy that forcing setup right over us. I think I have good chance at 10-12" before hint of Sleet. Sleet will still accumulate some Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

The mid-level never really transfers that is why we deal with the sleet and don't have a ccb that forms. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Better view of that 850-700mb frontogensis sitting over us Up to 6.75. I've almost reached NAM predicted snow total Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Coastal low has formed off mattress. Also we have some major lift right over us. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Good in terms that the mixing line down there is heavily rate dependent. Also I don't think I'll be sleet at 11am like the nam last night depiction Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

I believe kmdt was at 3.2" as of 7am I've just passed 5" here on way to 6" Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk