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Jns2183

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Everything posted by Jns2183

  1. Has the moron shut down his Facebook yet? I hope all the idiots who make meteorologist job hell turn their rotting brains on that dude. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  2. Hopefully I have enough time to like to sit down stitch those weirdos together for for 2011. The archive goes back to 1995. So if you have other dates your interested in let me know. I've spent the last month on a learning binge trying to piece together the ridiculously fragmented data and archive environment of weather data available and tools as well. Far more daunting then I thought but I produced basically 30 pages of a guide for myself. I think in going to take on trying to get a copy of AWIPS the nws made public to run on an AWS server so that I can run out the graphics power necessary to run it per hour use basis. 20 bucks a month is a lot better than spending $5,000 to build something that can run it. That's the main software that is that the workstations of the national weather service that brings in all the desperate data feeds that they've almost made totally public now. I even got authorization to use part of there MADIS feed Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  3. I never saw such green sky or have such an feeling something was off. But I was young and dumb so of course I stayed on a porch and watched funnel go pretty damn close above me. It touched down not long after Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  4. Here is a link to the raw base reflectivity files. You have to follow the directions below the view them and I can't until I get back home today. It's a bit of a process. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/has/HAS012685643/0001/ Link above is the directory to them I'm hoping to have the velocity ones a bit later Since these are raw data files, you will need one of the following free tools to view the actual radar images: NOAA Weather and Climate Toolkit (Recommended): This is the official software from NOAA. It is a Java-based desktop app that allows you to drag and drop these files and turn them into maps, animations, or even export them as Google Earth (KML) files. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/weather-climate-toolkit Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  5. 5/26/2011 I believe was the date. I was in Carlisle then. I ordered radar from inventory. Hopefully will have in an hour Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  6. Very rarely do we eat get severe to work out in May and June this time of day let alone March Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  7. Outside a tropical system the only times around here I've experienced true severe has been when we have a stong NW flow, dewpoint in upper 60's+. Temperature right around 80, and a clear almost bright skies under a solid cap till late afternoon when a huge jet stream slams into us causing upper air divergence and extremely rapid storm development 30-50 miles to my northwest. Outside of those very particular circumstances it's meh Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  8. We are getting barely any lightning with these. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  9. I was thinking of you making these. It's like a tale of two different universes. If someone can explain it, hats off. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  10. The old two mile wide long track ef4 going over the absolute most mountainous terrain in Pennsylvania like it was Alabama. If you ever get a chance to go look at some of the re-analysis anamoly for that day in a zoomed in fashion. The amount of absolute bonger values you get actually would almost make that tornado feel inevitable. It's that storm and the ef3 plus damage they found on mountains out west above 10000 feet that makes me laugh when people say they're safe because of the terrain they're in. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  11. She's beautiful. Really came into her own last 5 minutes with a a beautiful inflow notch. If anything she's going to put down right on top of cove mountain up there right by route 850. Some of my soon have one heck of a site when it gets to the river Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  12. Haha. We need about 10 more of last night in next 4-6 weeks to be 25% below normal Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  13. So Ambient Accurate Tempest Ecowit Sainlogic Which weather stations have you had experience with tell me the ins and outs of what everyone has learned. Thinking of getting the one on the link below https://a.co/d/0hYtwyh Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  14. Are you as worried about the drought like I am? Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  15. I'm with you on this one. Truly what I adore are those June (they cut off lows in the love June for some reason) backdoor cold fronts with a cut off lower where it's drizzling, 60, with a stiff east wind for a few days. Bonus points if it saves us from baking like our friends accross the mountains to the west. I remember once we sat between 56-63 for 3 days while Pittsburgh was in low 90s. I actually felt made for @Voyager who I think was on the verge of driving out there just to spend an hour in the sun. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  16. I believe the person took it with a drone Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  17. Massive ice jam up in Luzerne county on the Susquehanna. If that thing goes quickly there may be some issues. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  18. We still have a quite a few freezes until they are back. That is also the only positive of a late freeze. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  19. As we wake up this foggy morning we can at least be thankful it's not the fog from way back in 1940 in which Harrisburg reported fog so thick it spent 29 hours with visibility a quarter mile or below. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  20. I think that is the only way to get a wsw type storm. But it's risky. I think I'd be happy with a 2"-4" if it was drama free. What ever it ends up being I'm going with whatever the RRFS says is going to happen. I feel it's skill level around here as been unparalleled by any other model. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  21. I'm going to go out on a limb and predict something similar will happen in Pennsylvania in the next 10:years. Now it may be a pure true central storm, in which case I'm chasing, but it's coming. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  22. I've downloaded the complete set of all observation records in Pennsylvania up until 1925. 213 unique stations at one point contributed to this treasure trove. It's been fascinating just running the first bit of data analysis on them. Feels like I'm looking at an alien landscape. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  23. Tomorrow I do 1915 which not only is the opening salvo in the true reign of April Blizzards, as it's followed up with the 1919, the king of them all in 1924, and the one spoken at length yesterday in 1927; but it also had a cut off that would make me weep. 10" to nothing in 20 miles. 70 miles between 20" and nothing. And researching these I have discovered that they seem to come and bundles and then nothing at all for decades and we are certainly due Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  24. My first post of maybe several in coming days if people enjoy it. These are about true rarity in these parts that used to be a whole lot less rare. April Blizzards This is a deep dive into the "April Surprise" of 1894, a legendary late-season monster that paralyzed Pennsylvania just as the state was beginning to bloom. [emoji2518] 1894: A World, Nation, and State in Flux In April 1894, the world was a study in contrasts. Globally, the Panic of 1893 was still casting a long economic shadow, leading to significant labor unrest. In the United States, "Coxey’s Army"—the first significant popular protest march on Washington, D.C.—was tramping through the mud of the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic, demanding jobs just as this blizzard struck. Locally, Pennsylvania was the industrial heart of the nation; the steel mills of Pittsburgh were roaring, and the coal mines of the Anthracite region were fueling the Gilded Age. Culturally, the 24th President, Grover Cleveland, was in office, and the first ever Stanley Cup championship had just been played weeks prior. Little did Pennsylvanians know that a "Second Winter" was about to descend with historic fury. [emoji3587] The Winter 1893-94 Lead-Up: February’s Peak The winter of 1893–94 wasn't a consistent "ice box" year; rather, it was a season of extreme pulses. The early winter was relatively quiet, but February 1894 became the soul of the season. February saw a staggering 1,401.8" of station-summed snowfall across the state network—nearly triple the amount seen in January. The coldest day occurred on February 25, when the statewide average minimum temperature plummeted to -1.3°F. However, as March arrived, the "spring flip" was aggressive. Temperatures surged into the mid-50s, the snow pack vanished, and by early April, fruit trees were budding and farmers were eyeing their fields. The atmosphere was primed for a clash of seasons. [emoji408] Monthly Statistical Summary (Pre-Blizzard) | Month | Stations Reporting | Snow Sum | Mean Tmax | Mean Tmin | |---|---|---|---|---| | 1893-11 | 53 | 48.0" | 47.8°F | 32.6°F | | 1893-12 | 56 | 255.7" | 40.7°F | 24.6°F | | 1894-01 | 82 | 472.9" | 40.7°F | 25.4°F | | 1894-02 | 82 | 1401.8" | 36.7°F | 18.8°F | | 1894-03 | 82 | 97.1" | 54.0°F | 32.6°F | | 1894-04 (1–9) | 83 | 100.6" | 49.4°F | 32.0°F | [emoji302] The "April Bomb": April 10–12, 1894 The blizzard was not a classic "Arctic Blast" but rather a dynamically forced powerhouse. On April 10, a deepening low-pressure system began drawing massive amounts of moisture from the Atlantic, crashing it into a marginal but stubborn cold air mass draped over the interior of Pennsylvania. While Philadelphia saw mostly a cold, driving rain (only 0.5" snow) and Pittsburgh remained on the "warm" side with 0.0", the Central Ridge-Valley and Susquehanna Valley became the "Jackpot Zone." On April 11, the storm reached its peak, with 54 stations reporting snow and a statewide station-sum of 411.4" in a single 24-hour window. [emoji2783] The 9-Day Timeline (The Setup, The Event, The Melt) | Date | Mean Tmax | Mean Tmin | Stations w/ Snow | Max Single-Station Snow | |---|---|---|---|---| | Apr 7 (Pre) | 41.8°F | 29.7°F | 23 | 6.5" | | Apr 10 (Start) | 41.9°F | 31.1°F | 38 | 10.0" | | Apr 11 (Peak) | 36.7°F | 30.0°F | 54 | 28.0" | | Apr 12 (End) | 43.6°F | 31.6°F | 18 | 4.0" | | Apr 15 (Melt) | 63.0°F | 32.5°F | 0 | 0.0" | [emoji625] Geographic Winners and Losers The 1894 blizzard was a masterclass in "mesoscale banding." While the big cities on either end of the state (Philly and Pittsburgh) saw very little, the interior was buried. Selinsgrove recorded a mind-boggling 28.0" on April 11 alone. State College was a consistent winner throughout the event, recording 18" over two days. This storm was a "wet" snow, meaning the weight on the newly budding trees and telegraph lines was catastrophic, causing widespread communication blackouts across the Susquehanna Valley. [emoji471] Top Station Totals (April 11 Peak) * Selinsgrove 2 S: 28.0" * Le Roy: 22.0" * Lewisburg: 20.0" * Coatesville: 18.5" * Lebanon: 17.5" * Harrisburg: 13.0" [emoji2410] The Aftermath: The Great Disappearing Act As quickly as the winter monster arrived, it vanished. By April 13, the sun came out and temperatures began to climb. By April 15, the statewide average maximum temperature hit 63°F, sending the massive snowpack into a rapid melt. This led to localized flooding as the heavy, wet "April White" turned into "April Water." For those living through it, the 1894 blizzard was a reminder that in Pennsylvania, winter is never truly dead until May. [emoji2793] Visualizations I am generating a snowfall map of the hardest-hit locations and a commemorative "Weather Lore" infographic for the board. Here is the detailed write-up for your weather message board, formatted for easy copy-and-paste. [emoji2518] 1894: A World, Nation, and State in Flux The spring of 1894 arrived at a pivotal moment in history. Globally, the Panic of 1893 was still casting a long economic shadow, fueling labor unrest and leading to the historic march of "Coxey’s Army" toward Washington, D.C. In Pennsylvania, the Gilded Age was in full swing; steel mills and coal mines were the engines of the nation, and Grover Cleveland sat in the White House. While the state was looking forward to the regrowth of spring, a "Second Winter" was quietly gathering strength in the atmosphere. [emoji3587] The Winter 1893–94 Lead-Up: February’s Peak The 1893–94 season was one of extremes rather than consistency. After a quiet start, February 1894 became the heart of the winter, delivering a staggering 1,401.8" of station-summed snowfall across Pennsylvania—nearly triple the volume of January. The season’s arctic peak occurred on February 25, with a statewide average low of -1.3°F. However, March brought a violent "spring flip," with average highs surging into the mid-50s and the snowpack rapidly vanishing. By early April, fruit trees were budding, setting the stage for a catastrophic clash of air masses. [emoji408] Monthly Statistical Summary (Pre-Blizzard) | Month | Stations | Snow Sum | Mean Tmax | Mean Tmin ||-------------------|----------|----------|-----------|-----------|| 1893-11 | 53 | 48.0" | 47.8°F | 32.6°F || 1893-12 | 56 | 255.7" | 40.7°F | 24.6°F || 1894-01 | 82 | 472.9" | 40.7°F | 25.4°F || 1894-02 | 82 | 1401.8" | 36.7°F | 18.8°F || 1894-03 | 82 | 97.1" | 54.0°F | 32.6°F || 1894-04 (1–9) | 83 | 100.6" | 49.4°F | 32.0°F | [emoji302] The "April Bomb": April 10–12, 1894 The blizzard was a dynamically forced powerhouse rather than a classic arctic blast. On April 10, a deepening low-pressure system tapped into Atlantic moisture and collided with a stubborn cold air mass over the interior. While Philadelphia saw mostly cold rain and Pittsburgh stayed on the warm side of the track, the Central Ridge-Valley and Susquehanna Valley were decimated. On April 11, the storm peaked with 54 stations reporting snow and a single-day station-sum of 411.4". Because this was a heavy, wet "heart attack" snow, it caused massive damage to budding trees and telegraph lines. [emoji2783] The 9-Day Timeline (Setup, Event, and Melt) | Date | Mean Tmax | Mean Tmin | Stations w/ Snow | Max Single Snow ||---------------|-----------|-----------|------------------|-----------------|| Apr 7 (Pre) | 41.8°F | 29.7°F | 23 | 6.5" || Apr 10 (Start)| 41.9°F | 31.1°F | 38 | 10.0" || Apr 11 (Peak) | 36.7°F | 30.0°F | 54 | 28.0" || Apr 12 (End) | 43.6°F | 31.6°F | 18 | 4.0" || Apr 15 (Melt) | 63.0°F | 32.5°F | 0 | 0.0" | [emoji625] Geographic Winners and Losers The 1894 event was defined by mesoscale banding. Selinsgrove recorded a legendary 28.0" on April 11 alone, while State College and Harrisburg both saw heavy interior accumulation. Conversely, the "big anchors" on the state's edges missed out on the true blizzard conditions. Top Daily Snowfall (April 11): * Selinsgrove 2 S: 28.0" * Le Roy: 22.0" * Lewisburg: 20.0" * Coatesville: 18.5" * Harrisburg: 13.0" * State College: 13.0" [emoji2410] The Aftermath: The Great Disappearing Act As quickly as the winter monster arrived, it vanished. By April 13, the sun emerged, and by April 15, the statewide average high hit 63°F. The massive, moisture-laden snowpack melted rapidly, leading to localized flooding and turning the "April White" into "April Water" in a matter of hours. For Pennsylvanians of the 1890s, it was a stark reminder that winter is never truly dead until May. [emoji2793] Visualization: The Jackpot Map The map below highlights the "Interior Jackpot" where the storm core centered, showing the stark contrast between the buried central valleys and the relatively dry urban anchors. [emoji439] 1894 BLIZZARD INFOGRAPHIC > THE APRIL BOMB AT A GLANCE > * The Peak Day: April 11, 1894 > * Biggest Winner: Selinsgrove (28 inches in 24 hours) > * The "Flip": 36°F (Blizzard) [emoji3591] 63°F (Spring Melt) in 4 days. > * The Damage: Thousands of budding fruit trees destroyed; telegraph lines snapped across the Susquehanna. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  25. It was before my time but does anyone here have a clear memory of the summer of 1982? SUMMER 1982 DAILY WEATHER LOG (HARRISBURG, PA) JUNE 1982 Date | High | Low | Avg | Pcp -------------------------------- 06/01 | 73 | 63 | 68.0 | 2.36 06/02 | 75 | 55 | 65.0 | 0.00 06/03 | 66 | 52 | 59.0 | 0.74 06/04 | 65 | 56 | 60.5 | 0.02 06/05 | 60 | 56 | 58.0 | 1.18 06/06 | 64 | 55 | 59.5 | 0.00 06/07 | 75 | 54 | 64.5 | 0.00 06/08 | 73 | 53 | 63.0 | 0.00 06/09 | 80 | 55 | 67.5 | 0.00 06/10 | 62 | 55 | 58.5 | 0.16 06/11 | 63 | 58 | 60.5 | 0.26 06/12 | 62 | 53 | 57.5 | 0.19 06/13 | 54 | 50 | 52.0 | 1.47 06/14 | 76 | 51 | 63.5 | 0.00 06/15 | 81 | 51 | 66.0 | 0.00 06/16 | 83 | 65 | 74.0 | 1.48 06/17 | 78 | 64 | 71.0 | 0.00 06/18 | 79 | 57 | 68.0 | 0.00 06/19 | 81 | 59 | 70.0 | 0.00 06/20 | 73 | 54 | 63.5 | 0.00 06/21 | 80 | 57 | 68.5 | 0.00 06/22 | 77 | 55 | 66.0 | 0.04 06/23 | 72 | 53 | 62.5 | 0.00 06/24 | 74 | 50 | 62.0 | 0.00 06/25 | 80 | 50 | 65.0 | 0.00 06/26 | 84 | 58 | 71.0 | 0.00 06/27 | 82 | 60 | 71.0 | 0.00 06/28 | 85 | 65 | 75.0 | 0.00 06/29 | 80 | 68 | 74.0 | 0.17 06/30 | 78 | 59 | 68.5 | 0.05 JUNE 1982 SUMMARY: Precipitation: 8.12" (Max 1-Day: 2.36") Means: High 73.8F | Low 56.4F | Avg 65.1F Max Values: High 85F | Low 68F | Avg 75.0F Min Values: High 54F | Low 50F | Avg 52.0F JULY 1982 Date | High | Low | Avg | Pcp -------------------------------- 07/01 | 75 | 52 | 63.5 | 0.00 07/02 | 78 | 50 | 64.0 | 0.00 07/03 | 62 | 58 | 60.0 | 0.52 07/04 | 78 | 55 | 66.5 | 0.00 07/05 | 75 | 58 | 66.5 | 0.00 07/06 | 81 | 56 | 68.5 | 0.00 07/07 | 86 | 64 | 75.0 | 0.00 07/08 | 86 | 68 | 77.0 | 0.07 07/09 | 86 | 68 | 77.0 | 0.00 07/10 | 86 | 66 | 76.0 | 0.00 07/11 | 81 | 69 | 75.0 | 0.00 07/12 | 85 | 63 | 74.0 | 0.00 07/13 | 85 | 59 | 72.0 | 0.00 07/14 | 91 | 63 | 77.0 | 0.00 07/15 | 88 | 72 | 80.0 | 0.00 07/16 | 90 | 70 | 80.0 | 0.00 07/17 | 90 | 73 | 81.5 | 0.00 07/18 | 92 | 75 | 83.5 | 0.00 07/19 | 90 | 73 | 81.5 | 0.00 07/20 | 84 | 71 | 77.5 | 0.08 07/21 | 84 | 63 | 73.5 | 0.00 07/22 | 88 | 59 | 73.5 | 0.00 07/23 | 87 | 70 | 78.5 | 0.00 07/24 | 86 | 62 | 74.0 | 0.00 07/25 | 91 | 62 | 76.5 | 0.00 07/26 | 93 | 70 | 81.5 | 0.00 07/27 | 88 | 73 | 80.5 | 0.64 07/28 | 85 | 68 | 76.5 | 0.92 07/29 | 83 | 62 | 72.5 | 0.00 07/30 | 74 | 63 | 68.5 | 0.01 07/31 | 83 | 66 | 74.5 | 0.66 JULY 1982 SUMMARY: Precipitation: 2.90" (Max 1-Day: 0.92") Means: High 84.2F | Low 64.5F | Avg 74.4F Max Values: High 93F | Low 75F | Avg 83.5F Min Values: High 62F | Low 50F | Avg 60.0F AUGUST 1982 Date | High | Low | Avg | Pcp -------------------------------- 08/01 | 83 | 64 | 73.5 | 0.00 08/02 | 84 | 64 | 74.0 | 0.38 08/03 | 82 | 63 | 72.5 | 0.00 08/04 | 86 | 65 | 75.5 | 0.57 08/05 | 90 | 72 | 81.0 | 0.00 08/06 | 82 | 69 | 75.5 | 0.00 08/07 | 81 | 67 | 74.0 | 0.00 08/08 | 83 | 72 | 77.5 | 0.00 08/09 | 85 | 71 | 78.0 | 0.64 08/10 | 85 | 68 | 76.5 | 0.00 08/11 | 72 | 61 | 66.5 | 0.18 08/12 | 78 | 57 | 67.5 | 0.00 08/13 | 76 | 54 | 65.0 | 0.00 08/14 | 80 | 55 | 67.5 | 0.00 08/15 | 83 | 56 | 69.5 | 0.00 08/16 | 85 | 58 | 71.5 | 0.00 08/17 | 85 | 62 | 73.5 | 0.18 08/18 | 79 | 59 | 69.0 | 0.00 08/19 | 84 | 55 | 69.5 | 0.00 08/20 | 81 | 61 | 71.0 | 0.08 08/21 | 75 | 58 | 66.5 | 0.00 08/22 | 70 | 50 | 60.0 | 0.00 08/23 | 74 | 58 | 66.0 | 0.04 08/24 | 84 | 62 | 73.0 | 0.00 08/25 | 84 | 62 | 73.0 | 0.38 08/26 | 82 | 57 | 69.5 | 0.00 08/27 | 71 | 64 | 67.5 | 0.00 08/28 | 74 | 56 | 65.0 | 0.00 08/29 | 70 | 46 | 58.0 | 0.00 08/30 | 75 | 59 | 67.0 | 0.00 08/31 | 82 | 61 | 71.5 | 0.02 AUGUST 1982 SUMMARY: Precipitation: 2.47" (Max 1-Day: 0.64") Means: High 80.2F | Low 60.8F | Avg 70.5F Max Values: High 92F | Low 72F | Avg 81.0F Min Values: High 70F | Low 46F | Avg 58.0F SUMMER 1982 TOTAL SUMMARY: Precipitation: 13.49" (Max 1-Day: 2.36") Means: High 79.5F | Low 60.6F | Avg 70.0F Max Values: High 93F | Low 75F | Avg 83.5F Min Values: High 54F | Low 46F | Avg 52.0F SUMMER 1982 TEMPERATURE FREQUENCY (DAYS) HIGH TEMPERATURES Period | ---------------------------------------------- JUNE | 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 0 JULY | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 7 AUGUST | 0 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 1 ---------------------------------------------- SUMMER | 1 | 8 | 28 | 47 | 8 LOW TEMPERATURES Period | ----------------------------------------- JUNE | 0 | 24 | 6 | 0 JULY | 0 | 8 | 14 | 9 AUGUST | 1 | 13 | 14 | 3 ----------------------------------------- SUMMER | 1 | 45 | 34 | 12 Imagine only 12 nights with a low above 70 and 8 days of 90's Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
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