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Jns2183

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Everything posted by Jns2183

  1. Jns2183
    There seems to be a sentiment in here that any model run that shows a hit will definitely change for the negative while any run that shows a miss is a lock; while the only truth this winter seems the models will change wildly outside even 24 hours at times. .
  2. Jns2183
    I have the weather mate iOS app and use the 15 day outlook mostly as a judge of patterns upcoming and i can’t ever recall a 15 day window that had forecasted snow occurring on 10 days, with a snowfall total of 17.2” on 2.06” qpf. Wow .
  3. Jns2183
    Mag, this storm has you written all over it .
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  8. Jns2183
    Take a look at ukmet upper air .
  9. Jns2183
    I’m perfectly ok with that if it sends a 970 L triple phaser up the Chesapeake bay with a direct connect to the artic cold and 20 hours plus of high wind and snow .
  10. Jns2183
    You would have snowpack till April .
  11. Jns2183
    I don’t think words can do this justice .
  12. Jns2183
    I see why mag made a separate thread .
  13. Jns2183
    Here’s the radar out of Kdixs .
  14. Jns2183
    2” in 40 minutes in camp hill. This storm is Like a 3 hour movie that takes you through every state possible .
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  16. Jns2183
    This is 2016 level heavy. I was praying that the orientation be this way. We have a firehouse straight from the Atlantic pointing directly at us with our raise in elevation. Depending on the extent of the stall mdt can get absolutely dumped on. This was what euro was showing yesterday and we lucked out with the banding it seems .
  17. Jns2183
    I think the LSV is going to be stuck in the firehouse. Especially if this just stalls .
  18. Jns2183
    That storm also put down 6” after all snow was suppose to stop. It was weird. Like every model was wrong in each it’s unique way wrong .
  19. Jns2183
    2 to 3 hours here bone dry. Some places in sw Cumberland county have been under an intense band forever .
  20. Jns2183
    Radar looks like the lsv will be in the main Ccb for awhile as it forms .
  21. Jns2183
    12z NAM gives lsv 8-14” .
  22. Jns2183
    The HRRR certainty has trended our way. Realistically I can see MDT getting anywhere from 5” to 14” and they all seem just about as likely. .
  23. Jns2183
    What a ridiculous model spread within 24 hours. 4” to 24” .
  24. Jns2183
    Add in the 2” already on ground and a 10-14” storm total is pretty much what they started with and technically within the 12”-18”. Whoever is in the band when the stall happens will see 16” maybe more .
  25. Jns2183
    The NAM seemed to underestimate the snow around Chicago by 40% to 55% .
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