Jns2183

Well that is the big day apparently. Ironically all this low clouds is going to kill any chance for convection till more forcing gets here Wednesday night/ Thursday Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I doubt 3-5" would do much flooding, at least river flooding. But that over 4 or 5 days would be a godsend Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I'm at 1.28' for June and 1.72"for May and June currently. So these next 7 days are make or break. I've never seen it been so unsettled yet so dry. I think I have rain on close to 10/20 June days. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

We've been doing clouds and no rain very well lately. I could easily see us getting rain for 8/10 days yet not hit and inch. We need big MCS that train over us to make up these widespread deficits. Not an upper low stuck behind a block Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

It will take flooding rains to get a good part of south central pa within an inch of normal rainfall for the year Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I had to go on 5 day steroid course with big front dose this afternoon, so I doubt I'll be sleeping much tonight Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

SNE is already complaining about too much rain. Soon nc/va/maryland will too. Like I said before. We won't get too normal without a whole lot of flooding around us Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I think that's more clouds from the system in South then smoke. Look at GOES-13 Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

4-5 days of rain Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

On one end this keeps it from getting worse. But 1" a week is the minimum we need to just keep up. No hope on closing the drought till we see southeast colors up here. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Long range at least gives us decent chance of rain daily from Thursday through Tuesday Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Are the meso shutting us out? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

When does most of that fall. God we need it Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Will the bears game be televised or available to stream? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

So voyager obviously has to make the trek to game 6 to bring the proper juju to bring the cup home. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

At this rate the coal country and more Eastern pa will have to deal with catastrophic flooding for us to get to normal. That's a sacrifice some would make. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Near Pensacola Florida basically doubled our YTD rainfall in a day. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

So I hope it is rainy and cloudy for 75% of the remaining summer Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

For June through the 16th we should have 1.9". Station has observed 1.28". June averages 3.84". We will be lucky to hit 2". May we had 0.44". January 2.49" February 1.01" March 2.61" April 3.18" May 0.44" June (16th) 1.28" YTD 11.01" Normal 18.55" Yearly Normal 42.38" At 59% of normal and need to average 4.81" monthly for rest of year to catch up. On pace for a yearly total of 23.92". Since 1980 we have had below 30" of rain once. 2001 with 25.76". Driest year on record is 1942 at 25.52". By this data 44% of our yearly rain has normally fallen Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

What's the over/under in days until we get D3? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

You can see upper low spinning. Almost exact copy of Wednesday Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

We may still get second round. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Look at the surface analysis from this morning. I believe higher CAPE was just about where those storms blew up. Sun rises very early. Amazing what just a few hours can do. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

There has been so many tornado warnings between yesterday and today nationwide. Maybe it's recentcy bias, but it feels like some systems just have some ingredient that spins any and all storms once they reach a threshold. I did see a map highlighting a 5% tornado risk not far from where warning was. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I think the reason the models keep pushing back a pattern chance is that they basically throw up their hands after two weeks and default climate. When it gets closer the OP catch on to yet another wonky cut of low that acts as a block of any meaningful systems. Regardless, counting on a cut of low to get us out of this drought is like counting on penny slot winnings to pay the mortgage. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk