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Jns2183

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Everything posted by Jns2183

  1. Dare I say the GFS won this round? It locked in and never wavered for the last couple days. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  2. Nope, but the camp hill location is closed until April. I work the downtown one and also a small whiskey distillery in shermansdale Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  3. What happened to my 1/2" of rain? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  4. Outside looks like April snow if I've ever seen it. I'm sure the daffodils will be popping any day!!! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  5. It's remarkable how quiet it is with snow in forecast tonight Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  6. I did enjoy reading the MA forum doing that super cold may beginning a couple years ago. The anger a few snow showers could cause was something else. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  7. Winter doesn't really arrive until baseball starts Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  8. I'll take my chances 10/10 in january with a 996 low off the coast of oc MD. If 1 in a 100 it decides to be 69 and raining so be it. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  9. I'm happy to be north rather than south Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  10. Alright, I figured out with this project that I really need to just bite the bullet and teach myself some coding (php, sql , open to suggestions) I'll have to wait for this evening at home to post graphs, but I took snowfall data from October through April for every year from 1890 to 2022 as my data set than ran 10,000 simulations randomly chosing a month from the entire data set to build a probalistic profile for kmdt. I then did the same for 30 year periods as a check. What I'd love to do is find a way through total qpf, dewpoint, rh to factor increasing moisture in a warming climate to include an appropriate variance variable for each month and rerun them. Further I'd like to break down each snowfall into 1-3, 3-6, etc bins for each year and see how they have changed over time. And rerun simulations just for those bins. Eventually I'd love to have the coding as such where anyone could upload a data set in appropriate format and produce a probalistic graph of 10,000 simulations that has a nice format and presentation. Besides me walking around the west shore in a 40lbs backpack training for an expedition these next few months this Is my intellectual new years goal. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  11. It really plays into public perception because people automatically associate record warmth with high temperatures. What doesn't get alot of play is looking at our rainfall the last 20-25 years. People associated record warmth with dryness. I see record warmth, especially mins being that much more moisture the atmosphere can hold. I need to see how far back I can find hourly dew points and track that average. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  12. No one appreciates how much the average minimums have played a role in this. It's actually nuts. Compare average high temperatures to average low temperatures over last 30 years. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  13. 45 here. Forecast not to be below 40 until late Friday night Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  14. I was forecast to be 68 and rain. 58 is highest I got. No rain. Hard to even make out a front. Are we just doing lows in the 50's for day? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  15. Was it suppose to rain today or am I hallucinating Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  16. So we are basically stuck in the inverse 1960 decade pattern. We had to pay for that insane decade sooner or latter. Going into the winter of 1960 we had 70 years of records saying 55" is the max snow we see only to be hit with 81" then winter of 69'-70' closes out the decade with 75". At the close of the decade and 80 years of official climate records the 1960's held 6 of the top 11 winter snowfall totals ever as well as top 3 years. As of 2022 the 60's hold #1,4,6 ranks in top 10 winters. Only decade with 3. The 1990s have #2,#3, and 2000's have #8,#9. Further going back 80 years from end each decade no decade ever accounted for so much as 3 of top 10 winters compared to the 6 the 1960s did. Damn hippies Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  17. I'd love to know the last 5 winter months KMDT had a -2 + departure Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  18. Imagine being lakeshore near buffalo this Xmas. . Pro
  19. Why is my temperature forecasted to raise tonight? . Pro
  20. I’m currently in downtown Harrisburg on 2nd st in what should be a wind tunnel but I feel like you are on a cliff in the middle of the river . Pro
  21. A 90 year old double fisting whiskey leaving this earth via falling iguana is not a bad way to go out . Pro
  22. So cold they are warning people about iguanas falling from trees causing injury and property damage. . Pro
  23. How steep is your insurance? You lose more shingles in a year than people lose in camp hill per decade. . Pro
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