Jns2183

https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/what-is-a-1000-year-flood Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

This graph is from a meteorology student doing thesis work on extreme rainfall events. It's from the famous smethport, Pa 1942 event. The lines are recurrence intervals based on hydrology studies that are done for all the United States. The red dot is the observed event. There seems to be a major disconnect in exponential orders of magnitude. I'm sure part of the issue are standard fat-tail events are weird and smoothing for all points within a specified grid. But my lord, the upper bounds for what can happen at any one point in an area are off the charts compared to our models. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

84 high Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

KCXY only had .32. Rain Guage in camp hill had 1.03" Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

What's that site you use for estimated rainfalls locally Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Just wait till we get our snow bomb in 12 days Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

This has potential for an interesting case study Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Weird Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Tornado clear springs, pa Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

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I'd take a shut out next winter for this to happen may 1st Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Over 1" in camp hill Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

The grass will be insane this week thanks to this rain Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

The New England forum cracks me up. Post after post distilling the window ac installation habits of it's members broken up suddenly by news of a member coming across a black bear the size of a fiat on a pre dawn run. Also, don't run away from bears if you don't want to be chased. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Sweet sweet rain Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

God love the gfs 968mb Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Another weird thing about that area is because of the army base Blackhawk helicopters would always fly these lights out training missions on nights with a new moon. You would hear all these helicopters above you, but be lucky to even glimpse one. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I used to live close to CXY. That area indeed has its own little microclimate. Heat via downsloping and a bit of a rain shadow from the hills to the west and south. Most of our heat comes on winds with a westerly component to them. The sensors at kmdt catch that right off the river. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Start praying to hurricane gods Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

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What happened by the Ft Lauderdale Hollywood airport yesterday is insane. 25" of rain in 24 hours, 34+" in 48 hours Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

If this holds we will about 6.5" for year. Basically 3"+ below the YTD amount in 2001, our 2nd driest year ever at 26" Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Voyager, I never thought I would see roads worse than Pennsylvania; then I drove on I-17. My god, if it wasn't a rental car I'd feel the need to get my suspension checked Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I guess it's over a 100" Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Actual 1972/73 Flagstaff got 210" 79'/80' 177" Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk