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Jns2183

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Everything posted by Jns2183

  1. Jns2183
    Long range HRRR radar and qpf. God have mercy. At 48 hours 0Z .
  2. Jns2183
    Who isn’t prone to flooding here ? .
  3. Jns2183
    Can anyone think of a time when a stalled frontal boundary over us meets tropical moisture that hasn’t devolved into an epic disaster for at least some portions of our area? I’d tackle it like bubbler and prepare for Lee meets Ivan part 2 .
  4. Jns2183
    .
  5. Jns2183
    I hope some interviews the harbor master will that recorded the 149mph sustained winds with guest to 179mph from his ship’s instrument. This has to be the best verifiable high end CAT 4 ever and I suspect it will be upgraded on analysis. As soon as it started RI at the rate o f Wilma I knew she would be special .
  6. Jns2183
    5”-7” will send all the tributaries to at least moderate flood stage. Everything seems to be picking up on a through laying right over us for enhancement. Throw in a huge easterly fetch banging into that and mountains along with the core passing just south and the potential is there for areas to rival Lee .
  7. Jns2183
    Highest winds there since Betsy (1965) at least. Wind sensors at airport and other stations there all failed recently. This thing is crawling and they are going to get pummeled all night. .
  8. Jns2183
    Now there is video of roofs of some tall buildings coming off .
  9. Jns2183
    You see some of the videos of crazy wind tunnel effects, sheets of rain and skyscraper windows blowing out? .
  10. Jns2183
    This thing is going rake NO in the NE eyewall all night it seems as it slows down. It’s heading east of north. .
  11. Jns2183
    https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/hydr/18/6/jhm-d-16-0195_1.xml .
  12. Jns2183
    I wouldn’t trust a point n click for anything, especially without a huge wording change in AFD .
  13. Jns2183
    The way things go here we will average out by bringing back the dust bowl era in a few years .
  14. Jns2183
    Despite the last year or two this area has been a damn near rainforest for the last 20 years with 85% of them above average .
  15. Jns2183
    People on NY board were talking about a signal for a PRE. I believe we had that with LEE. CTP seems very confident this is setting up to be a classic crush job with easterly flow, tropical moisture, and trough setting up right over is for enhancement and training .
  16. Jns2183
    Just pray we don’t get a wind event anytime soon after .
  17. Jns2183
    I lived in New Cumberland then and I will always remember how thick the rain was and how every road was under a foot of water just do the intensity .
  18. Jns2183
    A few weeks ago in camp hill we had a 7” rain week. It’s been swampy since .
  19. Jns2183
    Question is will there be significant training possible where a few isolated areas get 10-15” in 12 hours and cause a repeat of swatera with Lee .
  20. Jns2183
    Remember when parts of our area were under a drought .
  21. Jns2183
    Talk about a south central jackpot .
  22. Jns2183
    Your shrimper friend is going to have a story or 2 .
  23. Jns2183
    12mb drop in 90 min. 944 now .
  24. Jns2183
    I pray to god all those hospitals have enough backup generators and they have the military able to set up field hospitals immediately because they were not able to evacuate any of the hospitals down there which currently are mostly at capacity .
  25. Jns2183
    NOLA in trouble .
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