Jns2183

Just took this from camp hill looking south east. It was bubbling as I watched it. Sun is out and whomever said powder keg is right. Now wind from outflow is hitting Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

From chaser approaching storm Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

It's heading right towards Pillow Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

At least they tornado warned that storm north of Harrisburg now Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Interesting Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

According to latest AFD 18z - 23z is the timeframe were we are at risk. So 2-7pm Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Sun is out. It's a hot steam bath. The atmosphere will destabilize quick. We have an upper level disturbance coming by with decent shear. Stuff will be firing with hour Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I'm now wonder if smoke from a boral forest burning interacts within our atmosphere quite differently then say smoke from the forest fires in the west, or say the brush fires Arizona seems to get. At least we haven't had a Peshtigo firestorm type event. When I say that I mean I fire so out of control so quickly that that a little brush fire can turn into as a 10 mile wide 100ft + wall of fall who can burn a path 40 miles long in 2 hours and create inflow winds well over 100mph extending our miles from advancing line that hits a town head on in the middle of the night killing 1500+. Paradise was tragic , but it wasn't close to this level Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I'm worried about Bubbler if this all misses him Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I also want to say the smoke from fires up north have always been there. Its this weird never ending unique rhex bloc on repeat that keeps this smokey groundhog day movie going. I will say,dear God we need to put some money into fire science to get a hold of our horrid smoke models. I remember thinking as a kid how amazing it must have been for previous generations to wake up to surprise blizzards. Maybe we all are just in hell and smoke is hells blizzards Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Don't a large number of trees in the boral forest needs forest fires to complete their life cycle? Anyways, a large number of these fires the only logical decision is to let them burn themselves out. If it bothers the USA that much they can pay for it's eradication. There have been plenty of years in last 100 years with more acres burned by now I believe. The issue is as the pattern has shifted from lanina to el Nina these passed two years we seem to go through extended periods in the mid latitude where systems break off and just get stuck. Much much longer than normal and with models defaulting to climo the longer out they go we end up selling ourselves fools gold over and over Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Haha spoke too soon. The model spread in rain is the equivalent of forecasting 0-24" Sunday for a Monday storm and then having a special broadcast Monday night with final forecast snow amounts for Monday. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Love being in the meso model dry spots a day out this year with convection verification scores Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

You're going to get it good soon. Real damn good Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Id love to see a study of all our smoke models 1-2 day verification scores vs the GFS/Euro 10 day snow verification scores Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Lone super cell? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Wet towel with ice water. Lay over you. Put fan directly on you Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Winter Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

97 with 81 dew should be cause for outdoor ban Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Euro weeklies now daily Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

EURO and GFS have a 60-70% chance of at least 1" of rain next 10 days for you Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

2.39" last 7 days. I'm amazed there is no air quality alert Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Euro just got big update this morning Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

When will it be operational Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Those died fast Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk