BretWx
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Everything posted by BretWx
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Sitting at a crisp 27/DP4 here. I doubt we will make it to the forecasted 34.
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No real changes with the EURO at all. I think a call of 3-6IN should be coming out soon from GSP. Just need more QPF w/ this run and we'd be SOLID.
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Let's just take the RAP and run with it. Weenie post ****
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12Z GEFS MEAN:
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Was waiting for you Hunter to pop back in!
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12Z GDPS:
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Let's get a decent one for my 15th anniversary on here. WILD how it has been that long!
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Looks like mostly a solid snowfall from 10AM - 2AM:
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Not much of a noticeable change on the 12Z GFS... yet!
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SREF PLUMES went up w/ QPF and MEAN Snowfall: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/
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12Z ICON is solid on PTYPE but LOW on QPF.
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12Z NAM QPF did increase. That's one thing.
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Not really seeing this NAM solution coming to fruition. However, there are always surprises, we know.
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Well, appears she wasn't done. A couple more hours of light snow. Then it is out and dry by 2AM.
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Finishing the light precip at 11PM on the warm side - A solid 12HR snowfall 9AM - 10PM on the 12K HRRR. Little to know difference on the Kuchera. Showing 7IN IMBY - I would take half of that and RUN at this point. Going to be a fun day!
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By HR36 we're back THUMPING - Let me know if these posts are annoying, LOL! HR38 - all snow, cold moving back down.
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A solid snow from 9AM - 6PM before the warm. I'd take that. We went from talking overnight to during the day. I love watching some good daytime snow falling.
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Looks like a solid 2-5in across the area before the trouble starts creeping in at HR33
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12Z HRRR has precip moving in around 8AM. Most of us in the low 20s with DPs single digits.
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Made it down to 10 degrees. Let's see how today goes! Should be fun to watch. Also, just going to TOSS the NAM at this point. It's almost now casting time.
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I'm always rooting for a big storm but, hey, this thing is trending earlier and to even just watch the snow fall during the day for 12+ hours, I will take it! Starved down here.
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We need that low a little further south. Colder, yes. Less moisture, yes. Within 48, yes. Things can change a lot? YES.
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18Z NAM, Wild ride incoming. Lets see....
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Conservative as usual. We shall see! Note: WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Outside the mountains, total snow and sleet accumulations between 1 and 3 inches and ice accumulations around one tenth of an inch possible.
