Jackstraw

KIND calling for 2-4 across the area ATM. Thats fine by me with the cold air settling in for awhile if it happens. Especially if next weeks system pans out. Will be interesting to see if the Euro caves tonight as it has. The odds have definitely gone down over the last 48 hours (figures lol). Along with the weak s/w, dry air and southern convection could come into play. We shall see, like I said worth a shot

00Z NAM sounding north central IN at 84 not too shabby. Upper trough seems a little sharper/deeper. Any northward trends favor the I-70 crew as there will probably be some wipers going back south. That's a pretty stout ridge to the NW but the orientation is more key in my feeble mind. What the hell do I know lol

Since I fired Cyclone I'll give it a shot for the first time lol. We're inside 120 hours so if this takes a crap I'll resign. Models have been consistent coming north of the OH river hinting at advisory to possible low end warning criteria snow for central southern IL/IN and central OH around 3/3-3/5 time frame. Potential App runner with some decent cold air in place would be a classic setup for some synoptic snow for the I-70 crew. GFS/FV3/GEM/Euro have all been coming north and a little more amped over the last 36 hours or so. Suppression and strength the only caveats I can see (like thats not enough lol.) as opposed to a strong WAA that's put the screws to us lately. If we're going to have this upcoming late season cold snap may as well paint the ground white one more time

Welcome to my world (- snowpack of course) lol

Yeah, we'll see as the week progresses. The clown maps make me jealous lol, but if the current winter pattern continues could be a late winter/early spring outbreak for the sub this year. We're due.

Explains my bit of sunshine this morning...

OMG you said it! lol. I'm more interested in the moon angle till the Ides of March

All you needed to do was start event threads, we'd all have a Bo snow pack by now lol.

My grade for this winter is slowly dropping from a B-. It's only getting a B because I'm grading on the curve of the last 5 or 6 years lol. We've had a couple nice events of 3-5 and one over 8 inches and a decent over performing ice event but it's this pesky cold -snow - torch - melt - rain back to cold sequence that's really getting old. Haven't been able to hold onto a snow pack at all (yeah my climo isn't the best for that but at least give me 14 days!). If I can go out with at least one more warning criteria snow the curve may just get it to an A, but it's gonna have to be a good one. Really not looking forward to a potential flooding spring, there's a very saturated water table around here.

Yeah, it's been the story this winter. This winter has been bass ackwards. Normally we get warmth, rain, sleet/freezing rain, snow, then cold with these systems. This year it's been cold, snow, sleet/freezing rain, rain then torch. Bass ackwards winter I tell ya but I'll take it over last year lol. And on that theme finishing up here with about 3 and some vary light freezing drizzle.

Up to 2.5 and still moderate to occasional +SN. Really coming down right now with nickle flake size.

Nice little event going on here. picked up 1.5 in the last couple hours may even get to 2 if radar trends continue. Too bad its not gonna last.

We just dropped 20 within the last hour. Its going to be wild watching all of this standing water turn into granite over the next 4 or 5 hours. Gotta make sure the car isn't in a mud puddle! lol

Looks like we're back to the I70 climo for the next couple weeks anyway. I can see for piles and piles, I can see for piles and piles, I can see for piles and piles, and piles, and piles and piles.... lol

I understand the disappointment about loss of snow pack, but I'm schooled at this lol. This is the 3rd time this year it's gone around here. The models ain't lookin good for us either. Still have 4-6 weeks of potential so I'll glass half full it for a bit, then I'm done. This freakin mudfest sucks.

Yeah I mentioned in the other thread it was amazing how shiny the snow was w/ this clipper. This morning you could even see glimpses of color from the light refracting through the crystals.

If we keep getting these huge temp swings mid Feb into March and keep the current storm track pattern the atmosphere is going to snap in this sub at some point. It just has to (Insert my weenie wish lol). I'm ready for snow>tornadoes in 72 hours

I've always wondered why we stay warmer than points west even as close as LAF. I get it if we get the wind across the lake but if we get it from the W or WNW we still tend to be warmer than points directly west of us. Is there some invisible Mt's to are west and we're getting some down sloping lol?

Hehe.... he said grateful.....

Don't get many minus 20/30 wind chills in GA? This is the other side of winter around here. IMO 1/14 was worse. Not quite as cold but it set in for a couple weeks without a warm up. That was my first real taste of the brutal cold after moving up from SC and it hurt! OTOH you should be used to this clipper coming, a quick 3-6 inches followed by 50-60 and possible thunderstorms lol.

First time I've seen this this late in the winter. Just saw 2 huge flocks of about 200 cranes each flying south at about 3k feet. A new species Procrastenarious Craneous lol?

-15 here around 9am w/ 35 gusts windchill of -42. We're "warming" up to -10/-30 now Brutal

Y'all come down south to north central Indiana. Gonna have sunshine and a balmy -18 lol. Seriously everyone be careful. I almost had to have 3 toes amputated after the 1/14 event. I still have to be extra careful with them when it gets cold. Fresh from the south I took it a little too far That's a hint Snowless

End one work week at 20-30 below start the next work week at 50 to 60 above. You'd think there'd be some kind of storm mixed in there somewhere lol. freakin' nuts