Jackstraw

That outflow is already into Indy so it was moving.

The western side will be intersecting an outflow boundary just west of the QC on SE thats very visible on radar. Could provide additional focus.

New day 1... Slash right down 65 lol...

Decent hail core on it also

From the latest SPC meso discussion, perfect timing, and a case where the local NWS re-instituted the watch perhaps? DISCUSSION...The intensity of convection across WW 433 has decreased over the last 30-60 minutes in some area from western TN into eastern AR. Other areas, mainly western KY/southern IL and portions of southern AR, have increased in intensity. In the short term, WFOs PAH, MEG and LZK have addressed the continued strong wind threat will local aerial extensions as needed.... Further north, across western KY/southern IL, the line has been intensifying and surging eastward. This is likely being driven by the expansive cold pool across AR/MO as well as stronger deep flow in the vicinity of stronger forcing occurring with a weak shortwave impulse migrating across the mid-MS Valley region. This portion of the line may continue to produce damaging wind gusts and PAH has addressed this by expanding WW 433. A line of storms moved across parts of western/central KY early today, but recent observations show conditions have likely recovered somewhat across western portions of WFO LMK. This may require an additional watch later this evening depending on trends as the line approaches this previously disturbed airmass.

That warned line around Paducha has some wicked QLCS hooks along it

Hope it doesn't out run the instability as it moves NE of Indy.

Thank goodness the 21st has passed. DST just flippin' sucks. Still daylight at 9:30 and twilight after 10? DST wasn't so bad down south but when I moved back here it blew my mind. Especially since IN was a holdout. I don't give a crap about the advantages they spout out. If I wanted to live in the land of the midnight sun I'd be there. Stop f%^&ing with my clock!

Depends on your interpretation of worse lol. I'll take it

These storms are crawling. Maybe 10mph. Whole state is under a flood watch now.

Prelim's from today's survey... Public Information Statement National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 551 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019 ...FIRST NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 06/15/2019 ... A widespread tornado outbreak occurred the evening of June 15th as a remnant MCV from earlier storms interacted with a warm front in southern Indiana. This is the first PNS that covers the surveys that were completed today, Sunday June 16th with additional surveys to be completed tomorrow, Monday June 17th. .Tornado #1 Freedom Tornado... Rating: EF-1 Estimated peak wind: 110 mph Path length /Statute/: 8.22 miles Path width /Maximum/: 200 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 06/15/2019 Start time: 6:29 PM EDT Start location: Freedom/Owen Co/IN Start Lat/Lon: 39.2038 N/-86.8726 W End date: 06/15/2019 End time: 6:45 PM EDT End location: 2 S Spencer/Owen Co/IN End_lat/lon: 39.2738 N/ -86.7509 W The tornado began just southwest of downtown Freedom before moving into the town shearing numerous trees around town. The tornado continued to the northeast leaving a very clear path of sheared and uprooted trees in a path about 200 yards wide. The storm crossed the White River several times over its lifetime and followed the river line to south of Spencer. This is where a large building had its roof uplifted and walls collapsed. The building was part of a business that was set to open for the first time on Monday. The damage ended shortly after and the storm recycled into the next tornado. .TORNADO #2 Ellettsville Tornado... Rating: EF-2 Estimated peak wind: 130 mph Path length /Statute/: 3.7 miles Path width /Maximum/: 400 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 06/15/2019 Start time: 6:48 PM EDT Start location: 2 W Ellettsville/Monroe Co/IN Start Lat/Lon: 39.2739 N / -86.6075 W End date: 06/15/2019 End time: 6:58 PM EDT End location: 4 N Ellettsville/Monroe Co/IN End_lat/lon: 39.2473 N / -86.6671 W The tornado began in rural countryside northeast of Ellettsville doing some tree damage before crossing State Road 46 and doing significant tree damage along Chafin Chapel Road. A 400 yard wide path of trees was completely shredded in spots. Additional widespread tree damage was found on Mount Tabor road and West Cowden Road. Along West Cowden Road, several barns and outbuildings were destroyed as well as a loosely anchored garage completely swept off of its foundation. The tornado continued into rural forest before dissipating. .TORNADO #3 Greene County Tornado... Rating: EF-2 Estimated peak wind: 130 mph Path length /Statute/: 3.52 miles Path width /Maximum/: 400 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 06/15/2019 Start time: 6:56 PM EDT Start location: 4 NE Koleen/Greene Co/IN Start Lat/Lon: 39.0456 N / -86.7965 W End date: 06/15/2019 End time: 7:00 PM EDT End location: 5 SSE Solsberry/Greene Co/IN End_lat/lon: 39.0500 N / -86.7312 W The tornado started west of North Crowe Road causing significant damage to a newly built building on Crowe Road. The owner verified it was well built and in very good shape. The track continued across State Road 54 and left a wide swath of tree damage with a resident stating over 100 acres of trees were snapped. The storm cross State Road 43 and dissipated in a field to the east. .TORNADO 4 BEECH GROVE TORNADO... Rating: EF-1 Estimated peak wind: 100 mph Path length /Statute/: 1.86 miles Path width /Maximum/: 200 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 06/15/2019 Start time: 7:26 PM EDT Start location: 2 SW Beech Grove/Marion Co/IN tart Lat/Lon: 39.7071 N / -86.0971 W End date: 06/15/2019 End time: 7:30 PM EDT End location: 1 E Beech Grove/Marion Co/IN End_lat/lon: 39.7160 N / -86.0641 W The tornado began southwest of Beech Grove causing roof damage before crossing Emerson Avenue and causing additional roof damage to a school and house. The tornado continued for several hundred feet before dissipating. .TORNADO 5 East Marion Co... Rating: EF-0 Estimated peak wind: 70 mph Path length /Statute/: 0.9 miles Path width /Maximum/: 100 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 06/15/2019 Start time: 7:37 PM EDT Start location: 4 E Beech Grove/Marion Co/IN Start Lat/Lon: 39.7397 N / -86.0009 W End date: 06/15/2019 End time: 7:38 PM EDT End location: 5 E Beech Grove/Marion Co/IN End_lat/lon: 39.7411 N / -85.9842 W A brief touchdown near Brookville road and East Raymond street caused significant damage to several outbuildings and minor tree damage near Brookville Road. EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale Classifies Tornadoes into the following categories. EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph EF4...Violent...166 To 200 mph EF5...Violent...>200 mph NOTE: The information in this statement is PRELIMINARY and subject to change pending final review of the events and publication in NWS Storm Data.

They are out today.... https://www.weather.gov/ind/jun15stormsurvey

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service St Louis MO 212 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019 ILC083-151945- /O.CON.KLSX.TO.W.0037.000000T0000Z-190615T1945Z/ Jersey IL- 212 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL JERSEY COUNTY... At 211 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Brighton, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This dangerous storm will be near... Brighton around 215 PM CDT.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 360 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 245 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of east central and southeast Illinois central and southern Indiana * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 245 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Isolated supercell development appears possible along a warm front advancing northward across the region through late afternoon and early evening. A few of these storms may pose a risk for producing tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles southwest of Mattoon IL to 60 miles east of Bloomington IN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

That same cell is N of Terre Haute now and warned again with numerous reports of a wall cloud. It's pretty much on its own now.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 168 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 PM CDT Thu May 16 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of East-central and northeast Illinois West-central and northwest Indiana * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1250 PM until 600 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A small linear bowing cluster may continue southeast along the Illinois and Indiana border region this afternoon. Damaging wind gusts and severe hail are the primary hazards, although a brief tornado or two is also possible. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles west northwest of Valparaiso IN to 30 miles south southeast of Danville IL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

I'm just about done bitching about Spring. The one week of it we've had! With 80's maybe 90 looming I'm ready for the summer thread so I can't bitch about the end of May cool down popping up lol. I'll take a return to the March April pattern from June to September in a heartbeat. Be like living in Hawaii.

00Z HRRR took a rather ominous turn continuing the threat into central IN. Has some support from the 00Z HRW circus as well as the RAP. This pattern over the next 48 hours seems a little strange to me for May. Almost a quasi August ridge riding pattern with a cold front kicking in behind. Lucy and Charlie? lol

Yep the forecast Sat. was rather gloomy keeping us on the cool side of the systems coming through with lots of rain. As you said models have slowly shifted north and also increasing our temps especially at night. If that pans out think the next 7 days could be good shrooming albeit wet! Thinking about heading up to Missenewa and Salomonie Friday.

With the big late season snow just to the North I don't know if I'm jealous or pi$#%d. Jealous cause I'm not in on the extreme event. Pi$%#d cause this weather pattern is royally screwing my shroom season!

And the saga of misery continues around here... Tonight Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 48. Light north northeast wind becoming northwest 8 to 13 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Friday Showers likely, mainly before 9am. Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 61. Breezy, with a northwest wind 20 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Friday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 40. West northwest wind 7 to 15 mph. Saturday A 50 percent chance of showers after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 57. West southwest wind 5 to 8 mph becoming south in the afternoon. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Saturday Night Showers likely, mainly between 8pm and 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 41. South southeast wind around 16 mph becoming west southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. Sunday A 30 percent chance of showers before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 56. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Monday Showers likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Monday Night Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Tuesday A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. Tuesday Night A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 51. Wednesday A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. Wednesday Night A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Thursday A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74.

Yeah, nice today and nice tomorrow then chance of rain and 50's for 6 of the next 7 days

Well the mule analogy definitely applies and respectively. 2020 is just around the proverbial corner

This crap has got to stop. We can't string together more than 36-48 hours of decent dry weather. It was impossible to get the yard raked last fall and now it's impossible to get the yard raked let alone mowed so far this spring. I desperately need a good 4 day stretch of mild dry weather to get anything done. A day and a half of decent weather followed by 2-3 days of rain, wind and cold then if lucky 2 days of dry weather then repeat. I have like a 24 hour window once or twice a week to do anything outside and it's been like this since October (cold in winter excluded of course). I don't think I've seen such miserable timing with these weather systems in my 7 years back in Indiana. Edit: And btw it seems like every weekend a weather system moves through for the last 6 months. Can't even get a decent Sat. and Sun. Started noticing this in Dec. We had some kind of precip probably more than 70% of the time over the weekend for the last 6 months. 7 day forecast below is getting really old..... Tonight Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5am. Low around 40. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming northeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Sunday Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 46. East northeast wind 7 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Sunday Night Showers likely, mainly before midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 34. Northwest wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Monday Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 53. West northwest wind around 11 mph. Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind 6 to 9 mph. Tuesday Partly sunny, with a high near 70. Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Wednesday A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Wednesday Night A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Thursday A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 8am. Cloudy, with a high near 69. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Thursday Night Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Friday A 30 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 58. Friday Night A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Saturday A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55.