Jackstraw

And the saga of misery continues around here... Tonight Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 48. Light north northeast wind becoming northwest 8 to 13 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Friday Showers likely, mainly before 9am. Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 61. Breezy, with a northwest wind 20 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Friday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 40. West northwest wind 7 to 15 mph. Saturday A 50 percent chance of showers after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 57. West southwest wind 5 to 8 mph becoming south in the afternoon. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Saturday Night Showers likely, mainly between 8pm and 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 41. South southeast wind around 16 mph becoming west southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. Sunday A 30 percent chance of showers before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 56. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Monday Showers likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Monday Night Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Tuesday A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. Tuesday Night A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 51. Wednesday A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. Wednesday Night A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Thursday A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74.

Yeah, nice today and nice tomorrow then chance of rain and 50's for 6 of the next 7 days

Well the mule analogy definitely applies and respectively. 2020 is just around the proverbial corner

This crap has got to stop. We can't string together more than 36-48 hours of decent dry weather. It was impossible to get the yard raked last fall and now it's impossible to get the yard raked let alone mowed so far this spring. I desperately need a good 4 day stretch of mild dry weather to get anything done. A day and a half of decent weather followed by 2-3 days of rain, wind and cold then if lucky 2 days of dry weather then repeat. I have like a 24 hour window once or twice a week to do anything outside and it's been like this since October (cold in winter excluded of course). I don't think I've seen such miserable timing with these weather systems in my 7 years back in Indiana. Edit: And btw it seems like every weekend a weather system moves through for the last 6 months. Can't even get a decent Sat. and Sun. Started noticing this in Dec. We had some kind of precip probably more than 70% of the time over the weekend for the last 6 months. 7 day forecast below is getting really old..... Tonight Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5am. Low around 40. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming northeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Sunday Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 46. East northeast wind 7 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Sunday Night Showers likely, mainly before midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 34. Northwest wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Monday Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 53. West northwest wind around 11 mph. Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind 6 to 9 mph. Tuesday Partly sunny, with a high near 70. Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Wednesday A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Wednesday Night A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Thursday A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 8am. Cloudy, with a high near 69. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Thursday Night Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Friday A 30 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 58. Friday Night A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Saturday A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55.

I'm 5 behind you. Maybe we'll have a Quantum forecast computer in a couple years so we can plan ahead lol.

Let me be the first to say it sucks so far lol.

Not quite sure where you're at but sand bars are created by rivers and especially floods? That logic as stated doesn't make sense to me. I've been told my area doesn't get tornadoes as much as surrounding areas because we're in a valley. Yeah my area was a bit of a low lying swampy area 200 years ago and yeah our elevation is maybe 50 to 100 feet lower than the surrounding areas and there's ancient river beds around here but that ain't why tornadoes haven't struck here lol.

Was tongue in cheek that Thurs was the last one of the season

The FV3 says nope! lol

Hehe.... he said grateful.....

Don't get many minus 20/30 wind chills in GA? This is the other side of winter around here. IMO 1/14 was worse. Not quite as cold but it set in for a couple weeks without a warm up. That was my first real taste of the brutal cold after moving up from SC and it hurt! OTOH you should be used to this clipper coming, a quick 3-6 inches followed by 50-60 and possible thunderstorms lol.

-15 here around 9am w/ 35 gusts windchill of -42. We're "warming" up to -10/-30 now Brutal

Back to normal lol

There's gonna be a late night surprise for some

The defo band that just left here is barely 20 miles to my east. I just spent 2 hours with 4 dogs in my old truck 420 with Cold Rain and Snow cranked driving around in it because well I'm just an idiot. It's got the potential to drop 4 inches in a couple hours. Don't be discouraged points east, especially if this thing starts phasing. Models be damned, there's gonna be some decent totals in Central Ohio somewhere. But more than that, this damn wind is keeping it snowing after it stops lol

I totally agree!

Lol, its coming your way trust me. May not be the high end totals but it's coming. The lasting power of the warm layer is pretty fascinating. Edit: The ridge is 15 to 20 mb's weaker than modeled earlier in the week also.

I can tell you the rural areas around here are going downhill fast. In town not so bad but all roads are snow/ice shellacked now. We've had maybe 1 1.5 inches of snow but there are 2 foot drifts on the roads (we still had about 3 inch snow pack but it was crusted on top). WSW in this area are definitely warranted if for nothing else just the blowing snow and the borderline warning criteria ice from earlier. I think the defo is going to perform at least for areas to my E and SE from radar and sat WV. Might even get me something decent as the cold air isn't really crashing in like I thought it would. At least in my area anyone bitching just hasn't been out in this. and here we should have 4 or 5 hours to go. Very impressive and under modeled WAA with this thing IMHO. Those that get under the sweet spot where it begins to stop (NE IN/NW OH?) will be happy.

Plumes spitting out 8 inches for Muncie . IWX still somewhat confident on some heavy snows tonight.... Storm total amounts will vary quite a bit across the area. Areas across southern Lower Michigan received around 6 inches of snow last night with the leading mid level warm advection/fgen band last night, and added several additional inches today. Another area of max storm totals will likely orient along and southeast of a line from roughly southeast of a line from Wauseon, OH to Fort Wayne, IN to Marion, IN. Depending on band evolution cannot discount possibility of some reports over 10 inches for the extreme southeast across northeast Indiana/northwest Ohio along and south of Route 24.

As was said f#$k this storm lol...

I'm going to take an armchair guess and it was something that concerned me all week I don't think the globals were handling the convection down south and the heat content being pumped up from the gulf very well. that's why we would see a run with 6 inches then a run with 15 then a run with 6. Like Buckeye when I saw that NAM run it really perked my ears. It is the NAM, but it usually sniffs out the WAA pretty well. On top of that the globals never got their shit together on where and when any phasing would occur, a lot of that due to not handling the heat pump from the south well in the first place. Plus no full sampling of the SW until less than 24 hours out really didn't help either. I never fully bought into this storm as soon as I saw it go from progressive to a late cutter. I did expect a little more than what I've gotten and definitely didn't expect the amount of ice here over 1/4 inch. It's not over by any means and I think points to my east should do fairly well as the evening progresses. Just my weenie thoughts

Nah, I'd bet your good for 4 to 6. Think the cutoff is gonna be from an Indy to Muncie line. As Jay said that cold air is going to come in like a rocket, already is on meso analysis, and be a liitle too much too late for me. Your closer to the energy and should get a couple more hours of snow than I will

We could very well end up with more ice and sleet than snow here. the bulk of the defo looks like it could cut to the se Haven't had a flake yet. The only blowing anything we might get are transformers lol.

Blizzard to Blizzturd... tonight on 60 Minutes Investigates