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Everything posted by Jackstraw
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If that was newer construction there shoulda been some bolts secured in the footers that the base wall plates were anchored to, not just anchored to the cinders on top of the footers. I can take out a cinder block anchor with the wives picture hanging hammer lol.
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Yeah thought the same thing. I mentioned low level flow as there was rotation, not just this one but a couple more that drifted through, because the storms seemed elevated with the most action. Low level winds were straight out of the N. even under that thing but about 1k up they were veering nicely. That entire updraft was rotating at a good clip as were several others just nothing to bring em down. Maybe if it woulda been in the mtns of WV coulda produced lol.
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Yup can't complain (except my windshield lol). Be nice to have a day or two dry. Looks like things could pick right back up next week Tues-Fri. Edit: June is normally IN. most active tornado month I believe.
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Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 229 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019 INC067-281845- /O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0066.000000T0000Z-190528T1845Z/ Howard IN- 229 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM EDT FOR EASTERN HOWARD COUNTY... At 228 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Windfall, or 8 miles east of Kokomo, moving east at 30 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. Locations impacted include... Greentown.
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Got out of my lawn chair and tried to get on the central Madison county storm, too little too late. Some pretty significant damage East and again just north of Anderson IN. Roads blocked by police. There was a really strong OFB from the storms N of 26 around Kokomo that rapidly worked its way SE and intersected several cells moving in from the SW. Ran into several small rotating wall clouds that were there and gone. Quarter size hail SE of Alexandria cracked my freakin windshield shoulda stayed home. Hope evryone stays safe, that was the dumbest chase ever on my part.
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Sitting under the edge of the anvil from the Grissom cell with a catchers mit in case it tosses a long ranger my way
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Friend is on the storm around Grissom AFB. He said there's a bunch of local yocals following him because he mentioned chasing while getting gas. He is not happy lol.
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Haven't even gotten wet yet. No shear around here when the WF passed. Will have to see what happens as better forcing pivots east, if it does.
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Yeah was gonna say tight donut on MDW velocity
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Cells popping E/SE of Indy along the warm front. The one ENE of danville IN looking better with rotation
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As much as I'd like too think I'll stay local chase wise IF anything is this far south. Too many yahoo's with beer still in their coolers around here lol. If it weren't a holiday different story.
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Thats one of the craziest QCLS hooks I've ever seen.
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Surface low is finally getting kicked in the ass by the UL energy over AZ/MN per GOES-16 WV imagery. UL energy is literally rolling the bowling ball. iIf it's too late still a question but could forebode points NE as it rounds the bottom FINALLY and works it's way into a still extremely unstable atmosphere.The differences I've noticed here compared to 4/27/11 is that the "bowling ball" was better defined and the UL energy had a better stroke on the LL "bowling ball" timing wise. 4/27/11 was a perfect roll or even a perfect Joe Frazier upper cut on WV imagery.
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Haters will be haters but I'm telling you from experience a PDS warning at night is 100 times more scary, and deadly, than a Cat5 coming. Seriously.
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The surface low has been just hanging around in SW New Mexico. None of the models forecasted this this late. It's finally progressing and deepening. How and when it hooks around the upper level energy is yet to be seen. But it seems like it's FINALLY going to try.
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Even with the latest 1 day outlook downgrade the storms have still not entered the area the SPC thinks is the most volatile, at night no less (I can't stress a nocturnal threat enough). Sorry but professionals don't make decisions on one storm.
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What I got overall from it is there is still a potentially volatile atmosphere in place and though we missed it to the negative early there's no reason to downplay potential. The powder is still in the keg. Whether a spark gets to it remains to be seen. Merso analysis is getting a bit concerning in the watch areas into Arkansas. Night time outbreaks are few and far between but not to be messed with as that's when folks are the most vulnerable even in the techno cocoon we live in now.
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Speaking of that low i was looking at the models from 12-24 hours ago and none of them had handled the surface low evolution well.
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Exactly. They/models/we/everyone missed something earlier, to be learned later, but there's still a volatile atmosphere out there waiting to be tapped as darkness ensues. There's nothing scarier than an EF anything coming at you in the dark, been there.
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And I agree with the latest disco... Mesoscale Discussion 0710 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0550 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019 Areas affected...Southeast Texas Panhandle...Eastern Texas South Plains...Portions of Permian Basin Concerning...Tornado Watch 197... Valid 202250Z - 210045Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 197 continues. SUMMARY...The tornado threat will continue within WW 197. Given the strength of the low-level shear expected, tornadoes will be possible with all storm modes. However, significant tornadoes will remain possible with any storm that can remain discrete. DISCUSSION...Several discrete/semi-discrete supercell thunderstorms are ongoing across WW 197. So far, tornadic activity has been limited by the number of storms ongoing in relative close proximity. Nevertheless, very strong deep-layer shear (60-70 kts) and strong low-level veering ahead of these storms, particularly in northwest Texas and into southwest Oklahoma, will continue to support strong low-level rotation. As the low-level jet continues to increase this evening, the tornado threat should also increase. The threat for strong tornadoes will generally be modulated by storm mode. Any storm that can remain discrete will continue to pose a threat for a significant tornado. However, given the very strong low-level shear, tornadoes will remain possible within linear segments.
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Would've like to have seen a mean storm vector more around 250 instead of 230-240. There were a lot of strong velocities above the boundary layer but weak boundary layer sheer ie. 25KT's or so and a more parallel storm vector to the low level fairly weak backing winds played a big role I think in getting anything going and sustaining at the surface.
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That complex S of Lubbock could become a contender as it moves NE. After exploding into a mess awhile ago it slowly looks to be organizing into a line of sup's. It's right along the dry line and doesn't look as of now if anything is going to pop out ahead to disrupt.
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Yeah those just exploded. If they can stay lonely....
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3mb 2 hour pressure falls across central OK