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Jackstraw

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Everything posted by Jackstraw

  1. Scorcher here today at 93/68. Need that dew line to move about 40 miles NE so can get in on some cooling action. That gradient has been stubbornly fixed the last couple of days.
  2. Hit 92 today. Pop ups all around, nice time for one to pop right on top and give us a quick 10-15 degree cool down!
  3. Now that you say that I have noticed they've been warmer than the other airports around them. Maybe they're working on it now because Muncie is reporting 70 and Marion 84 at 11am lol.
  4. Central Indiana just got transferred to Hades in like 72 hours. The foot of the oppressive dome is bearing down. We're still at 89 at 8pm (really 7pm in my book lol). Edit: Muncie 25 miles east still reporting 91!
  5. Hit 90 here for the first time this year today.
  6. Nice day today after the drizzle moved out. Finally a P&C forecast with less than 30 to 40% chance of rain over the next 7 days (still 20%) and more seasonable temps (not like I'm complaining lol). Seen this forecast before over the last month only to get that pesky boundary to set back up. Hopefully more of a summer pattern setting in minus the humidity.
  7. Yep 73 here w/70 dews at 10pm. Feels warmer than it did at 1pm when it was 82.
  8. From the latest SPC meso discussion, perfect timing, and a case where the local NWS re-instituted the watch perhaps? DISCUSSION...The intensity of convection across WW 433 has decreased over the last 30-60 minutes in some area from western TN into eastern AR. Other areas, mainly western KY/southern IL and portions of southern AR, have increased in intensity. In the short term, WFOs PAH, MEG and LZK have addressed the continued strong wind threat will local aerial extensions as needed.... Further north, across western KY/southern IL, the line has been intensifying and surging eastward. This is likely being driven by the expansive cold pool across AR/MO as well as stronger deep flow in the vicinity of stronger forcing occurring with a weak shortwave impulse migrating across the mid-MS Valley region. This portion of the line may continue to produce damaging wind gusts and PAH has addressed this by expanding WW 433. A line of storms moved across parts of western/central KY early today, but recent observations show conditions have likely recovered somewhat across western portions of WFO LMK. This may require an additional watch later this evening depending on trends as the line approaches this previously disturbed airmass.
  9. That warned line around Paducha has some wicked QLCS hooks along it
  10. Hope it doesn't out run the instability as it moves NE of Indy.
  11. Thank goodness the 21st has passed. DST just flippin' sucks. Still daylight at 9:30 and twilight after 10? DST wasn't so bad down south but when I moved back here it blew my mind. Especially since IN was a holdout. I don't give a crap about the advantages they spout out. If I wanted to live in the land of the midnight sun I'd be there. Stop f%^&ing with my clock!
  12. Indy still has a shot at a record June rain fall total, but yeah southern IN. can't handle much if any, more rain. I think they could plant this Frankencorn they have now days on the 4th and still harvest it by the end of October. That little 3 or 4 day window prior to the 10th allowed a lot of farmers around here to get a crop in and those fields are already 6-8 inches tall with some damn near a foot.
  13. Depends on your interpretation of worse lol. I'll take it
  14. Good news is they don't look like they're going to settle in for any extended time over the next couple weeks. May have some decent breaks. But that also probably means more of this wet pattern
  15. These storms are crawling. Maybe 10mph. Whole state is under a flood watch now.
  16. Prelim's from today's survey... Public Information Statement National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 551 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019 ...FIRST NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 06/15/2019 ... A widespread tornado outbreak occurred the evening of June 15th as a remnant MCV from earlier storms interacted with a warm front in southern Indiana. This is the first PNS that covers the surveys that were completed today, Sunday June 16th with additional surveys to be completed tomorrow, Monday June 17th. .Tornado #1 Freedom Tornado... Rating: EF-1 Estimated peak wind: 110 mph Path length /Statute/: 8.22 miles Path width /Maximum/: 200 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 06/15/2019 Start time: 6:29 PM EDT Start location: Freedom/Owen Co/IN Start Lat/Lon: 39.2038 N/-86.8726 W End date: 06/15/2019 End time: 6:45 PM EDT End location: 2 S Spencer/Owen Co/IN End_lat/lon: 39.2738 N/ -86.7509 W The tornado began just southwest of downtown Freedom before moving into the town shearing numerous trees around town. The tornado continued to the northeast leaving a very clear path of sheared and uprooted trees in a path about 200 yards wide. The storm crossed the White River several times over its lifetime and followed the river line to south of Spencer. This is where a large building had its roof uplifted and walls collapsed. The building was part of a business that was set to open for the first time on Monday. The damage ended shortly after and the storm recycled into the next tornado. .TORNADO #2 Ellettsville Tornado... Rating: EF-2 Estimated peak wind: 130 mph Path length /Statute/: 3.7 miles Path width /Maximum/: 400 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 06/15/2019 Start time: 6:48 PM EDT Start location: 2 W Ellettsville/Monroe Co/IN Start Lat/Lon: 39.2739 N / -86.6075 W End date: 06/15/2019 End time: 6:58 PM EDT End location: 4 N Ellettsville/Monroe Co/IN End_lat/lon: 39.2473 N / -86.6671 W The tornado began in rural countryside northeast of Ellettsville doing some tree damage before crossing State Road 46 and doing significant tree damage along Chafin Chapel Road. A 400 yard wide path of trees was completely shredded in spots. Additional widespread tree damage was found on Mount Tabor road and West Cowden Road. Along West Cowden Road, several barns and outbuildings were destroyed as well as a loosely anchored garage completely swept off of its foundation. The tornado continued into rural forest before dissipating. .TORNADO #3 Greene County Tornado... Rating: EF-2 Estimated peak wind: 130 mph Path length /Statute/: 3.52 miles Path width /Maximum/: 400 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 06/15/2019 Start time: 6:56 PM EDT Start location: 4 NE Koleen/Greene Co/IN Start Lat/Lon: 39.0456 N / -86.7965 W End date: 06/15/2019 End time: 7:00 PM EDT End location: 5 SSE Solsberry/Greene Co/IN End_lat/lon: 39.0500 N / -86.7312 W The tornado started west of North Crowe Road causing significant damage to a newly built building on Crowe Road. The owner verified it was well built and in very good shape. The track continued across State Road 54 and left a wide swath of tree damage with a resident stating over 100 acres of trees were snapped. The storm cross State Road 43 and dissipated in a field to the east. .TORNADO 4 BEECH GROVE TORNADO... Rating: EF-1 Estimated peak wind: 100 mph Path length /Statute/: 1.86 miles Path width /Maximum/: 200 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 06/15/2019 Start time: 7:26 PM EDT Start location: 2 SW Beech Grove/Marion Co/IN tart Lat/Lon: 39.7071 N / -86.0971 W End date: 06/15/2019 End time: 7:30 PM EDT End location: 1 E Beech Grove/Marion Co/IN End_lat/lon: 39.7160 N / -86.0641 W The tornado began southwest of Beech Grove causing roof damage before crossing Emerson Avenue and causing additional roof damage to a school and house. The tornado continued for several hundred feet before dissipating. .TORNADO 5 East Marion Co... Rating: EF-0 Estimated peak wind: 70 mph Path length /Statute/: 0.9 miles Path width /Maximum/: 100 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 06/15/2019 Start time: 7:37 PM EDT Start location: 4 E Beech Grove/Marion Co/IN Start Lat/Lon: 39.7397 N / -86.0009 W End date: 06/15/2019 End time: 7:38 PM EDT End location: 5 E Beech Grove/Marion Co/IN End_lat/lon: 39.7411 N / -85.9842 W A brief touchdown near Brookville road and East Raymond street caused significant damage to several outbuildings and minor tree damage near Brookville Road. EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale Classifies Tornadoes into the following categories. EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph EF4...Violent...166 To 200 mph EF5...Violent...>200 mph NOTE: The information in this statement is PRELIMINARY and subject to change pending final review of the events and publication in NWS Storm Data.
  17. They are out today.... https://www.weather.gov/ind/jun15stormsurvey
  18. If some of the models are to be believed over the next 10 days KIND could be bumping up to '98 (10.26") and 1875 (12.22") for the wettest June on record. Pretty impressive with none of this coming from a tropical system.
  19. Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service St Louis MO 212 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019 ILC083-151945- /O.CON.KLSX.TO.W.0037.000000T0000Z-190615T1945Z/ Jersey IL- 212 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL JERSEY COUNTY... At 211 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Brighton, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This dangerous storm will be near... Brighton around 215 PM CDT.
  20. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 360 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 245 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of east central and southeast Illinois central and southern Indiana * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 245 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Isolated supercell development appears possible along a warm front advancing northward across the region through late afternoon and early evening. A few of these storms may pose a risk for producing tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles southwest of Mattoon IL to 60 miles east of Bloomington IN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
  21. Days like yesterday make you appreciate the power of the sun when directly overhead. While cooling down most of the day the sun finally popped out around 5 and those few hours of sunlight made a very noticeable difference, jumped about 5 degrees in an hour or so. Pretty wild pressure jumps too from 1018 down to 1005 back up to 1017 in 24-30 hours.
  22. Wow, Sorry, fell asleep and didn't wake up until October. How was hurricane season?
  23. After living a couple decades in the south with 95/75 humid summers the next week P&C forecast around here can be put on repeat until Sept. as far as I'm concerned Monday A 30 percent chance of showers before 2pm. Cloudy, then gradual clearing during the afternoon, with a high near 70. Breezy, with a northwest wind 11 to 16 mph increasing to 17 to 22 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph. Monday Night Clear, with a low around 50. North northwest wind 6 to 11 mph becoming light and variable. Tuesday Increasing clouds, with a high near 74. Calm wind becoming west around 6 mph in the morning. Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. Calm wind becoming south southeast around 5 mph after midnight. Wednesday A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. Wednesday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Thursday A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Thursday Night A 10 percent chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Friday Night A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Saturday A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Saturday Night A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Sunday A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78.
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