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Everything posted by Jackstraw
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Winter 2022/23 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Jackstraw replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The GFS nailed that one 50 million out lol -
Oh I have and I curse like them every time these damn dogs come storming into the house. I even have a couple of Deadwood sidewalks out by the shed with some old 2x10's. It'll freeze good eventually then then walking on these frozen mud stalagmites will be even more entertaining and dangerous lol.
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Luvin' my forecast for the foreseeable future, mud, mud and then some mud. Y'all know how much I luv mud. Seriously, my grass is gone. I now own mud dogs. Shits everywhere. I give up.
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U cashed in this weekend compared to the rest of us lol.
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Pre-Christmas (Dec 21-23rd) Winter Storm Part 2
Jackstraw replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
About 2 miles from my house this plow has been working SR's 28 and 13 since around 10am and they are still fighting 2 foot drifts trying to close it. Might be a lot better in the towns but it's pretty crazy how much havoc just a few inches with crazy cold winds can do out here. -
Pre-Christmas (Dec 21-23rd) Winter Storm Part 2
Jackstraw replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Winds blowing so hard here think I saw a couple flakes with Hawkeye's zip code on them. 54 in the last hour strongest gust I've recorded yet. Still "crankin'" a 30-35 below wind chill close to noon. Been below 30 wind chill since 2am. Thats 2013/2014 stuff right there for these parts. -
Pre-Christmas (Dec 21-23rd) Winter Storm Part 2
Jackstraw replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Woke me up. Several believable 50+mph gust on my station, Muncie airport nearby gusting to 43KT. Some of the highest winter gusts I've experienced out here, old house is a shakin', and a little chilly -
Pre-Christmas (Dec 21-23rd) Winter Storm Part 2
Jackstraw replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Snowed started around 4:30 but didn't really start sticking till about 6. Nice big flakes to start but as soon as the wind picked up they shattered. About 2 down with a decent band moving through right now, might give us another inch. -4/-25 with 35mph gust highest I've had on the station here so far. We had a similar storm a few years ago, not quite as cold but gusts to 40 for about 12 hours. It did snow more with that one, around 6 inches. We had 6 foot drifts out here in the boonies. Think the warnings were warranted. Roads are trash out here with the little snow we've gotten. If we would've gotten the forecasted 6-7 the models were spitting out (or more from crack model) it could've been nightmarish. Not quite over but at least a white Xmas, those are hard to come by around here. Merry Merry -
Pre-Christmas (Dec 21-23rd) Winter Storm Part 2
Jackstraw replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Hats off to KIND for pulling this Daniel Boone era cold weather tip placard out of their butt crack. Glad I brushed up on my lean-to skills this past summer lmao. -
County was out plowing for about 3 hours here this morning then parked them. X
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if IDOT cameras worked lol. 31 looks passable but slow up to 38. Cant see farther than that but they did have 4 plows on 28 this morning
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Plowing is futile around here. Some 4 foot sets in the country. Drifting efficiency is at its max. Storm total 7 so far with 3-4 hours to go per radar trends. 12 is within reach, we shall see.
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FZ starting in the warned areas. Really hope forecast is overdone
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00Z Euro not looking good from a suppression standpoint. Repeating my mantra "I know my climo, there's nothing I can do about my climo, I accept my climo". If I need to head SE and get some real Cincinnati chili, not that fake skyline crap, to see more snow I will lol.
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Very similar here except that bottom layer is just water pooling over frozen ground from 12 hours of rain that flash froze in about 30 or 45 minutes. I know from living in the sticks you drop some powder on "frictionless" ice it seems like the drifting power is doubled lol.
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Just got back in from my first chance to play in some snow all season (main reason for my anxiety with this system lol). Best guess 3-4 with some 18 inch drifts. Snow stopped around 10 but was still blowing pretty good. I expected about twice that out of part 1 which would've been roughly half of a basic model consensus at 10-1 ratios yesterday. Never do, never will buy into gfs/Nam krazy kuchera 20 inches like they were spitting out but the euro was consistently showing 10 maybe 12 10-1 with part 1 for here. Like has been mentioned, that damn front basically stopped for about 6 hours 25 miles to my NW. It was no speed demon but I thought it would be snowing by 1 or 2pm. A little concerned about suppression with part 2. Lets see how this next wave bounces around the TN valley. If I can squeeze another 10 I'll be very happy lol.
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Just got back from a ride. its knarley already out here in the sticks. Roads are drifting amazingly well. All the snow thats fallen is fluff. still nice nickle dendrites with a sustained 20-25 mph N wind. I'm estimating close to 3 inches so far. It really hasnt let up. I'm really surprised at seeing over 1 foot drifts already. If it keeps up we're gonna be snowed in by morning. Snow plow pic from about 15 min ago on HWY 28. I love the snow in the headlights when driving, reminds me of blank tv channels on the TV's when I was kid. Yes you turn the brightness down and it looked the bridge viewer on Star Trek lmao. You know the tv's, you had to get off yer ass to change the channel lol.
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Here, take a look at the 21Z RAP
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Think we finally flipped to SN for the foreseeable future hopefully. Waiting on that transition hurt as bad as stubbing your toe after getting up for a 3am pisser.
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18Z GFS hittin' the glass pipe again? Still has 15 here when all is said and done and I can still see grass right now. Ill take it lol
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The northern part of the front is painstakingly creeping E/SE. Ive flipped back and forth from rain, pingers and snow 3 times in the last hour.
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Better than 4 days to get 2 like it did here in that paltry clipper fest last weekend lol
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Traffic in Indy could be a nightmare in a couple hours. Transition zone is supposed to cross into Indy in about an hour right before rush hour per KIND update. They drive like idiots down there (as they do in any larger metros) lol. Also first semi crash on 65 south of LAF. imagine that https://511in.org/@-88.6322,40.09838,7?show=incidents,normalCameras,weatherWarningsAreaEvents,plowCameras,flooding
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Nice, thanks for sharing that. You could really see that turbine speed up as it transitioned to snow that was cool. Still hoping for big numbers. Models are trying to kiss us. I just drove up to Nevada to see some flakes, it started kicking really good there. Yes Im impatient as hell with this one, its the first single snow over an inch for the season here lol.