Jackstraw

Have to say I don't think I've been bass fishing in the snow before. Snow bass aren't biting but it's snowing pretty good, nickle sized parachutes, and sticking on grassy surfaces surprisingly. About a half inch in the last 45 minutes. Top 5 event for the season so far (tongue in cheek) lol .....

Light snow/grapul this morning. Gonna make fishing fun.

Yes, they just closed schools here for the next month. I've worked from home for the last 6 years. Trust me it's not all it's cracked up to be. I agree with you about getting outside and enjoying life away from 4 walls be it a workplace and/or home. I do it just to maintain sanity. Heck I'll sleep out in the yard half the time in the summer lol. I agree with you about getting out and about. This may be a blessing for some if they do that and get them back in touch with parts of life that the rat race of modern life has taken away. Not likely to get sick in the woods! Actually I'm getting ready to go fishing at a local spot this morning for the first time in 2020. See if I can't coax me out some slow moving snow bass lol

Heard the Gov. of NY say the best way to control this is testing and to isolate the "positive's". That's all we need, a label for those infected geez. Like ShaumburgStormer posted, these precautions are being implemented to protect those most vulnerable, mainly infants, folks with for whatever reason have a depressed immune system and those over 60, of which we have one of the largest elderly populations in US history right now. That's also a big difference from say 1918, there's a lot more vulnerable today. On one of the flying channels on youtube I watch the guy had a Physician/pilot on there that gave a very balanced discussion on what's going on, which is extremely difficult to filter through with all the crap out there. Some of the things he brought up made very good sense. The fact that those who do pass from this die from pneumonia, and it is a viral pneumonia so antibiotics don't help. He stated the mortality rate from this is around 3% where as the 1918 was around 2% without the advances in medical care we have now. The one thing he said that struck me is that within the medical community the biggest fear is its going to settle down as we enter the summer but when we get back into the colder months next fall it very likely is going to come back with a vengeance. The only way to truly control it is via vaccinations so the body can defend itself of which may not be available until late fall early winter. I'm not in a high risk category so honestly I wouldn't be too concerned if I contracted it now, while I'm healthy than take a chance on next winter when something could happen to me health wise to compromise my immune system before a vaccine is available, my body would be ready. Here's a link to that interview plus if your into GA and flying this guys got a great channel....

Ahh, I thought you said around tournament time. I hereby remove you from the castle of weeniedom

No tournament . Can I trade my beer stock for toilet hand paper sanitizer? Honestly, and maybe I'm just an old ****, but I think there's a bit of over reaction going on. My biggest concern is somebody is going to supposedly get someone else mortally sick and relatives or even government are going to go after them. We don't need anymore division in this country. Was already a fight locally over the last couple gallons of bleach at the local store. I mean c'mon.

Ok, Cyclone's wimping out, I'll do it, hopefully put this winter to rest

I'll do it since Cyclone's gonna weenie out lol. Models have been sending some potential snow somewhere through the central parts of the forum. NAM cast has warning criteria 6+ through SE IA, central IL/IN/OH, globals wishy washy the past few days from a stripe of 6+ to a spitter patter. with the usual windshield wiper N\S who the hell knows outside 24 hours trend. Going to be hard pressed to get any accumulation with the warmth we've had IMHO. Here's the 3/13 00Z NAM ball grabber....

I would think that cell approaching Bowling Green needs TOR warned. Nice hook, rotation and inflow notch on radar. Was warned 30 min ago

Storms becoming more cellular in central KY. Was a possible debris ball on CC on the one warned just N of Bowling Green but it's also showing a nasty hail core so don't know.

Isolate supercells popping along the MO/AR border, they all are showing rotation and a couple TOR warned.

Tropical season is gonna be a blast this year lol.

If this Tournament storm keeps showing up Cyclone needs to start the thread, he called it a month out

Will be pulling my mushroom hiking stick Monday. It'll tell me when it's time

Nice. Winds are starting to howl. If we can't get it from the sky may as well pile what we got high lol

At 4 here as of 7pm. Still snowing but has let up to sand blasting pixie dust. That little wrap around band kicked it up a notch. Can keep these ticklers off the lake over night might even get another inch. Pretty big cutoff to the SE, SE Madison county maybe 2 inches. Driving around amounts definitely reflect the banding. The secondary roads are shit, just the way I like it lol. I'm still amazed at the drifting, there's some 2 footers out there and still building. Due for another ride in a couple hours.. Biggest drifts since Pumpkin Day.

Sticking out here in the boonies, and I can't believe how well this sticky stuff is drifting...

Sitting at 3. Would've been half as much but had a nice band sit on top around 10am. Hoping for another inch as the backside moves through. This stuff is sticking to everything. Guess it's better than nothing.

Lite white drizzle, if there is such a thing. Anyhoots, some flakes about 12 hours too late. Been the worst thing this season, if ya get some it's an agonizing long event. Like sitting in the dentists chair.

Glad to see our Maple Leaf friends have something to even discuss. Been a long time.

Definition of a SOPOS...

Ok I'm finally within 24 hours of my area. 4 down 2 on the ground final call

Nice AFD from Ryan at KIND (and one of the longest short term's I've ever seen)... .SHORT TERM /Tonight through Thursday Night/... Issued at 330 AM EST Tue Feb 25 2020 Forecast challenges quite a bit greater than 24 hours ago as the model suite has shifted the potential for accumulating snow further to the southeast than previous runs had it. The overall model mayhem has led to some drastic changes to the forecast from just a day or two ago...highlighted by an increasing threat for accumulating snow...especially over the northern half of the forecast area. Still though with such a rapid change within many of the model solutions...confidence is nowhere near where would like to see it at this stage. A headache inducer to say the least. So why such large scale changes over just the last few model runs from just a few tenths of snow to potentially needing to consider headlines? Much has to do with the model suite`s handling of the evolution of the upper level pattern as the energy diving out of the northern Rockies carves out a deep trough over the center of the country by Wednesday. Previous runs had a cleaner transition of the energy aloft from the weakening wave over the region this morning into the expanding energy aloft dropping in from the northwest. Model guidance this morning still has this transition taking place but it is quite a bit messier with strung out energy aloft described in the near term section above aiding in less phasing at the surface and subsequently a shift south to almost all of the key features involved with this storm. A developing upper low will close off over Oklahoma/Kansas this evening then deepen as the energy aloft carves out the trough as it tracks across the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys Wednesday. Just two days ago...a new surface wave was developing over northern Illinois late tonight and early Wednesday in tandem with the upper low but now due to the strung out nature of the waves aloft ahead of the approaching northern stream energy...this secondary low never develops with the current surface wave over the region drifting slowly east near the Ohio River. This results in the colder airmass pivoting into the region much faster than originally thought... perhaps as early as this evening in the northern Wabash Valley before expanding southeast across the area into Wednesday. Model soundings support a gradual transition to snow from rain overnight into Wednesday morning over the northwest half of the forecast area...with a rain to snow/rain mix over the southeast half on Wednesday. Low level thermals support snow as the primary precip type over the entire forecast area by late day Wednesday. So while there is an increased threat for snow accumulations late Tuesday night into Wednesday...especially along and north of the I- 70 corridor...several caveats remain that must be considered in determining amounts. The model suite is capturing a trailing surface trough behind the departing low pressure system with a trowal extending west in tandem Wednesday morning. The strong energy aloft mentioned above will dive around the base of the approaching upper low and into the region Wednesday morning enhancing diffluence aloft. These features combined with the potential for a mid level deformation axis to rotate across the northern half of the forecast area could support a threat for heavier bursts of snow through the day. With that being said...surface and ground temps will be a factor for a good chunk of the day with low to mid 30s common across the region before turning colder by Wednesday evening. The above factors could lead to heavier snowfall rates that would overcome these marginal temps but some melting of snow does seem likely when rates remain lighter which will knock totals down. A lot to consider here and a lot that could bust potential snowfall totals. That being said...feel strongly from a public impact standpoint that a headline needs to be introduced over northern counties where confidence is highest at the moment for impacts and accumulations. Will introduce a Winter Storm Watch...essentially north of a Crawfordsville-Anderson line...which offers the most flexibility at this point considering the constant model shuffling that has occurred over the last 24-48 hours and may continue with the 12Z runs today. Have 3-5 inches in these areas...1 to potentially as high as 3 to 4 near the I-70 corridor in the transition zone and lighter amounts further south. Fully expect that an Advisory at a minimum will be needed over parts of the northern forecast area should trends continue and the dayshift will have an additional set of runs to determine if further adjustments in location and amounts is needed. The main message at this point is that adverse winter weather and snow accumulations are becoming more likely for late Tuesday night and especially Wednesday over the northern half of the forecast area. Snow will gradually diminish Wednesday night as the upper low shifts east of the region. High pressure will build in on Thursday but cloud coverage will remain higher as a fast moving clipper system dives through the Missouri Valley. This feature will track into the lower Ohio Valley Thursday night. While the focus of the precipitation will be southwest of the forecast area...flurries or light snow may skim the lower Wabash Valley early Friday. Plan on keeping the forecast dry at this point but will be something to monitor going forward. Temps...heavily utilized ConsAll numbers for hourly temps late tonight in Wednesday to try and better capture the expansion of the colder air. Temps will drop steadily after 06Z tonight back into the lower and middle 30s with little to no recovery on Wednesday before the much colder air arrives Wednesday night. Generally undercut MOS guidance as a result for highs Wednesday. Much colder Thursday with some portions of the area remaining in the 20s. Lows will fall back into the teens over much of the area by Thursday night. &&

Like Stebo said this system is barely inside 48 hours. I think the "consistency" of the models showing substantial snow inside 120/96 and not letting up this time got everyone excited, plus the light at the end of the tunnel for this winter season is in sight. I'd love to lock in this 00Z NAM in but my ass has been on fire all this season lol. 00Z runs we'll see if the trend continues, think there's a good chance to back some NW. For posterity I'll take a sounding like this all day long...

The Carpathia is down here in N Central IN to pick up survivors