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moneypitmike

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Everything posted by moneypitmike

  1. Now that things have greened back up (incredibly quickly), what's the thinking on a fall application? I'm concerned that if we return to a dry spell, that could cause problems. Thanks.
  2. One good thing is that the heavy rains are taking place close to the coast. If these were taking place inland like Irene the river flooding would impact a much larger area--think of Irene. 2.0" here
  3. Area pws are showing .8 now. Hopefully we an eek out a 2-spot when all is said and done.
  4. I'm not sure exactly what that means--is this a statistical estimation? Since we only have about 1.5 200 year-intervals to observe, I'm a little confused. I would think tropical systems may do that more frequently than every 200 years. .75"
  5. Off-topic question.......what are the data sources being used in the short-range models like the HRRR?
  6. Zone forecast is so innocuous while P/C calling for 1-2 overnight and 1-2 tomorrow. Tonight Showers. Lows around 60. East winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent. Tuesday Showers. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent. Tuesday Night Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the evening.
  7. The 3 PWS nerar me are report .3, .4, and .5. NAM has me dry until noon. 3K must closer to observation.
  8. Toss the NAM at least as far as MYB goes. It shows nothing here until noon though we have about .25" so far. 3K is a little more accurate for what I've experienced--but still probably wrong overall.
  9. It's much more comfortable temp-wise with the rain coming down. Pretty crappy overnight.
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