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moneypitmike

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Everything posted by moneypitmike

  1. moneypitmike
    I don't like this range map at all. At least raise the floor on the two high zones.
  2. moneypitmike
    Off-topic: It's incredibly icy out there this morning. Be careful out there!
  3. moneypitmike
    Jeff and Lava are reading this with much interest. In addition to ensemble spread in QPF, other points of uncertainty exist around the development of a quasi-stationary mesoscale snow band and the inland penetration of the coastal front. A mesoscale snowband acts to rob moisture from the northwest side of the band creating a tight gradient in snowfall while areas under the band could see up to a foot of snow.
  4. moneypitmike
    Tossing NAM's, this looks increasingly like it will be a pretty minor event in Maine unless we can get some type of enhancements.
  5. moneypitmike
    Looks like qpf is getting reduced on the NAM (no suprise) and ICON. At least in Maine. Alas.
  6. moneypitmike
    Cool. Where?
  7. moneypitmike
    Yup
  8. moneypitmike
    Nothing says likely quite like seeing Old Saybrook in the jp zone.
  9. moneypitmike
    Battle of the titans.
  10. moneypitmike
    If I'm reading the key correctly, it looks like 10- 12 for here, 12-15 for Jeff......that's workable.
  11. moneypitmike
    The fact that it started suggests you'll have at least a lot of taint.
  12. moneypitmike
    Black out and white out are pretty much the same thing. Yes, PWM looks to be a good spot for this.
  13. moneypitmike
    Congrats
  14. moneypitmike
    Lots of time for this to shift.....don't sweat it yet. You might get more than I.
  15. moneypitmike
    Have to get through Christmas and New Year's first.
  16. moneypitmike
    Just realized this map reflects the PWM/BOX/ALY watch areas.
  17. moneypitmike
    Where you are in Worcester can make a big difference. Airport, e.g., can be way better than the DCU.
  18. moneypitmike
    My gut is that RGEM may be how things play out.
  19. moneypitmike
    Welcome back. You're down in Cockeysville? My daughter's in Monkton.
  20. moneypitmike
    For the NAM archives:
  21. moneypitmike
    Anyone need some qpf?
  22. moneypitmike
    Regardless of their methodology, I think they would serve themselves (and their crediblity) well by not naming it "Official NWS Forecast". It reminds me of one of my old work friends who would weight all his sales opportunities as 50% saying "either they will or they won't".
  23. moneypitmike
    They're both (GYX/BOX) from their probablistics. They provide two identified as "Expected: Official NWS Forecast". One provides a number, the other a range. The range version should not be confused with their 10% and 90% probability amounts. Those are diffferent.
  24. moneypitmike
    For those who care about such things: LOL
  25. moneypitmike
    Can you throw up a PWM one?
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