moneypitmike

Red sky in morning........

Buzz kill.

Give me a press.

Those maps look just like the Thurs event where they had the mtns getting more and it ended up being reversed We pray.

I might need to get back up to Pit2 next weekend. What a monster for some. PF-heaven, hopefully for many others.

GYX sticking with the WWA. Not too surprised--it's borderline. Bottom line is people know it's going to snow. The forecast is for 4-7". With all the models except the RGEM showing .5+ of qpf in much of the state, I think many could verify closer to the high-end map. The ratios will need to be high for that though. The precip is going to cut off so quickly on this thing. EDIT: I just read the AFD. I think they're expecting a portion of the .5+ to evaporate in the dry air. I believe the models include (by design or just by reality) those evaporating amounts in their total. Please correct me if I'm wrong on that.

Wham bam thank you ma’am.

Just got to Pit2. Walking into a winter wonderland. Fresh pack and 4*. Winter like it should be.

More NWS updates:

That's what she said. That's not what she said.

Is that on top of your house?

This qpf would require some fantastic ratios to hit the high end on much of the GYX map (at least the Maine portion). Great look for the MA/NH -VT border folks.

Yeah--it's way too progressive to do any more damage than that.

My experience with GYX is they tend to be really conservative on amounts--at least they used to be. They've been saying 4-8" for me since last night.

I expect they'll be going to that with their afternoon package. Actually, they might just go to warning if 18z runs hold as we'll be pretty close to 24-hours out at that point.

GYX has updated their maps. More gusto for all.

Pulled back on what? qpf? That's sad.

The Pope has decreed it so.

Nice bit of enhancement--especially for you and Lava.

A better look: Congrats, Mitch.

For those who care about such things:

That's what she said.

I'll take that .65" and some good ratios, please.

Start high. You can always adjust upward if needed.

BOX's most-likely and 90% maps are essentially identical......that doesn't seem to make sense. EDIT: Perhaps they expect the same qpf and the only determining factor is whether they taint. Since they don't expect that, you get the 50% and 90% being the same. That said, I'm still not sure where they're getting the qpf to warrant watches.