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snywx

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Everything posted by snywx

  1. Temp 42 1.19” of rainfall so far not much wind to speak of. Highest gust here was 15mph
  2. Temp 29 w/ a few flurries Still have 4” of snow cover here
  3. It feels like winter right now.. too bad that vicious cutter is gonna decimate the solid 4” snowpack outside. Took a drive up Greenville turnpike to the top of Greenville mountain about 5 miles to my west… shocked to see how much snow there is above 1200’. Solid 6-7” up there.
  4. Use the multi quote please!!
  5. It’s amazing how A grinch storm has become the norm now.
  6. This is very true. I’m at 10.6” ytd at 12/16. Not too bad at all
  7. Yeah Monticello prob averages around 65-70”. That stretch between Rock Hill to MSV capitalize on these types of events
  8. My 20 yr average is 53”. I’m pretty sure areas like Cornwall, highland falls, new Windsor are in the 35-40” range for the same period. Those towns are right on the western shores of the Hudson with elevation <200’
  9. The averages really drop off once near the immediate shores of the Hudson. Down In Orange County I believe the averages along the Hudson are in the 35” range but increase to the 50-55” as you move west toward Middletown/Otisville with elevation
  10. Keep those observations coming. It’s good to know what those echoes are producing to my south
  11. Snow starting to pick up again. Plowed roads have a fresh coating temp 32
  12. 18z HRRR & NAM came in much snowier for these parts. It’s hard to find any piece of guidance that suggest anything under 10” now for western orange county
  13. SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/... The storm really gets going tonight and Friday as the low move off the middle Atlantic coast and moves towards the region. Precipitation becomes widespread across the entire region, with some of the precipitation falling moderate to locally heavy at times late tonight into Friday morning. Winter headlines continue until 1am for Western Passaic and until 10am Friday for Orange County where temperatures will be cold enough for a longer period of snowfall. While it appeared that there could be a period of freezing rain over the last 24 hours, it does not appear that way with the latest 00z runs. With most of the guidance backing off on this, I have removed the mention of freezing rain thus taking out any ice accumulations. Snowfall amounts will be rather tricky across Orange county. Right now, while there is a winter weather advisory, I do think there could be a portion of Orange county that could or will meet warning criteria (6+ inches). The best chances will be across the far western sections of the county, mainly north and west of the I-84 corridor from Port Jervis to Montgomery. It looks like there could be a fairly tight gradient of the heaviest snowfall, the main question is where does that gradient set up. Also, there is a chance that some location, mainly far western Orange could see a brief period of heavy snowfall where amounts could reach rates of 1 inch per hour for an hour or two. Have decided to go with an advisory vs a warning for Orange county, because at this time, it does not appear that more than half of the county will reach warning level snowfall. Outside of Orange County NY and Western Passaic NJ, the rest of the Lower Hudson Valley, rest of NE NJ, and interior SW CT is expected to see a mostly a rain event with the possibility of a rain/snow mix to start. Little to no accumulations are expected in these locations. Along the coast, including the NYC Metro, coastal CT and Long Island, pretty much a plain rain event is expected. Should be interesting to watch unfold
  14. What did the 6z Euro show snowfall wise. I’m hearing it ticked cooler
  15. 24/21 here. looks like upton is finally acknowledging the potential for a tight snow gradient here in Orange County
  16. W of the Hudson looks locked in on most guidance. You can see some evidence of potential downsloping along & E of the river
  17. 0z GFS wow It continues to print out a huge event for these parts
  18. Yeah they finally pulled the trigger. Meanwhile the 18z GFS continues to double down on a big time event for the 84 corridor
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