JoshM
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Everything posted by JoshM
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I'm inclined to believe it. The 850s are in the classic place to break hearts
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Start the thread... jk jk
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Ian won't be in the best environment for intensification, luckily. Dry air and shear should be abundant.
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0z NAM would be a very windy Friday/Saturday for a lot of us... depends on where second landfall is at and how much time it spends over Atlantic.
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GFS getting that low further west each run
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Rates will overcome
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GFS finally got unstuck
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Man, that does look good
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Someone it manages to crap out around 3-4 inches for MBY. I'll take it
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GFS not a half bad look at this range
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And the snow map
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Ya, that's one of the oddest setups I've seen. I've been sitting here just looking
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Winter is like super speedway racing, we sit thru the boring parts (90-95%), waiting for the big one.
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GFS not too shabby this run
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FWIW, latest RAP has Charlotte at 0.28 freezing rain, was 0.04 last run
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Latest HRRR keeping sub freezing dewpoints into the later morning West of 77
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What's making this trend colder, do we have some pseudo wedge or something?
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Check out the RAP, last 4 runs have increased the amount and coverage of the ZR
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18z RGEM had Charlotte at around 3/4 of an inch
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4% for MBY
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If the GFS verifies …
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If the in-situ cad is stronger and/or the precip gets in sooner then it’d be more like 40-50% off. Another long week of tracking
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Precip moves in About six hours sooner this run. over 1 inch of freezing rain for KCLT
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Get those generators ready
