Jump to content

LP08

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,678

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by LP08

  1. LP08
    I mean it makes sense if the H5 is right? More positviely tilted trough and flatter flow will not get the moisture transport we need. Ok done with Nam nitpicking hah
  2. LP08
    Maybe I'm way off but I don't think we want flatter out front? This thing undoubtly will be west of us. We should want amp and quicker phasing to send a much better swath of overrunning before we lose thermals. The two part, although slightly colder to start, robs moisture. Similar to what the Euro showed at 12z.
  3. LP08
    need the Baja low to come further east. When it drags its disconnected so the over running loses its punch and it turns into two parts.
  4. LP08
    Delaying the phase and flatter out front is causing some cut back on qpf for the thump.
  5. LP08
    A DT woof?
  6. LP08
    Keeps the primary way way south...like SC compared to WVA. Thats a lonely island.
  7. LP08
    I mean, 18z sunday and the mix line is still south of EZF...
  8. LP08
    I guess with a later sloppier phase we do lose some of the super intense thump, who knows what to root for anymore!
  9. LP08
    Seems that the first couple pieces of guidance at 12z (NAM, RGEM,ICON) delay the phase out west compared to their previous runs. And before anyone says anything i know these are not even the B squad lol
  10. LP08
    I'm worried too but my only hopium is that it is a true artic airmass (in place before the storm) will be a little more stubborn than usual WAA. I've been here too long. That warm air aloft ALWAYS comes in quicker than modeled. I've been telling friends 6-10 so hopefully at least 6" can be reached.
  11. LP08
    The phase was slower/later too, which helped keep heights lower as well
  12. LP08
    The problem too is its getting shared EVERYWHERE. My friend group, X, facebook. Ive seen some mets online trying to fight back against it.
  13. LP08
    We can't make fun of the NAM then post the 87 HR SREFs. Both our terrible and outside there "usefull range". Both the 12k and 3k have a small but noticeable cold push over the east through 36. Thats all I am looking for.
  14. LP08
    Through 24hr, better cold push over the east on the NAM.
  15. LP08
    Reading comments will be fun on that. Maybe my beer run won’t be as busy today !
  16. LP08
    It’s outrageous lol
  17. LP08
    Ukie thump still looking good
  18. LP08
    Looks like we lose 700 mb at 90
  19. LP08
    AiGFS will be north. Much more interaction out west
  20. LP08
    ICON was a bad run for Chicago
  21. LP08
    There’s another lobe North of New England that comes down (quicker than 18z) that compresses heights and prevents the trough from tilting more negative.
  22. LP08
    Better thump than 18z
  23. LP08
    Yeah this icon run not looking great out west.
  24. LP08
    Dry January ends when the first sleet pellet hits my window.
  25. LP08
    When we get the new data and it makes it worse, will they run them again without it?
×
×
  • Create New...