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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. Icon is further south and much better than 18z fwiw (not a lot I know)
  2. Nam isn’t going to make many friends I’m afraid. Storm is west of va beach
  3. It’s tiny but I’d think with rates we could at least fight off rain.
  4. 84 just off VA beach. Slightly east than 6z....850 along 95 it seems
  5. At 81...thumping with the 850 line through EZF
  6. 21z...850 north of dc...warmer than 12z
  7. 18z Wednesday heavy snow...850 line south of EZF
  8. Sipping this while waiting for the pork butt to hit 10 hours in the smoker. Big fan of the New Belgium’s.
  9. 108..850 line bisecting dc. A shellacking.
  10. 105...850 juuuuust SE of dc metro. Winchester crew crushed
  11. 102....heavies moving in. 850 south of EZF
  12. Snow on the doorstep at 12z Wed....850 line on the VA NC border.
  13. Well the Monday storm on the GFS is stronger than 6z, so there’s that.
  14. Just for posterity. Has been considerably less in prior runs.
  15. Yup. Added a better push from the confluence. Still not as good as the other “better” models but it was a good step.
  16. This is the “worst” panel on the gfs for close in dc area. As long as the rates hang on, it should stay frozen. I could see a scenario where the precip type changes back and forth depending on the rates.
  17. Maybe only 4 absolute stinkers for the beltway crowd. Great run. Thanks!
  18. Trying something I have never done before. Got the smoker fired up. Should give me plenty of time to model watch today.
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