LP08
-
Posts
3,273 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by LP08
-
29/24 here in Arlington
-
3k doesn’t get any WAA precip east of the blue ridge until 17-18z...that ain’t going to work
-
35/24 here in N. Arlington. Also a beautiful sunset.
-
RGEM tries to warm sector us, lol. West of the Bay.
-
I’m in the same boat trying to avoid heavy rain and 37°. surface even close in hovers between 32-34.
-
Gfs says dc and close in don’t drop below freezing at any point before or after the storm. It has the UHI in full affect.
-
The worst.
-
My goal in mby is to hopefully avoid a driving rainstorm after a few hours of snow. Hopefully during lulls we can hold on to 33-35 and stay “frozen” for most of the storm.
-
Adding the surface which looks above freezing in and around dc for the duration.
-
The “worst” 850s
-
Unfortunately WxModels do snow maps first for 18z and nothing else has come out yet. The WAA snow didn’t look as impressive as 12z but we got more love after a change back.
-
18z Euro shifted accumulations about 15 miles nw, fwiw. Edit to add: Better end of storm than 12z just basing off of quick glance snow maps
-
Not a wishcast but just a realistic question that I hope I won't get berated for...Is it a typical track for a storm to shoot from ILM to the mouth of the bay or would a storm seek out the baroclinic zone just offshore? I don't have the memory that most do on here with storms but it seems like an odd track to shoot up the bay then east. Thanks!
-
Closer in we get all of a sudden the euro is the best outcome for us closer to the beltways and its all from the initial slug.
-
A low into the Chesapeak bay isn't going to do any good. A touch colder to start but cant fight that track off.
-
54 snow into the majority of the forum.
-
Through 48. 850s are a touch south compare to 0z.
-
Yes its the NAM, but through 36 it has some better confluence and heights along the east coast.
-
I think my goal for Wednesday now is to not get to 38° and pound rain. I’d consider a 1-3 front end with an inch after would be a huge win.
-
Just going off the crude maps....soundings support closer 32. We will fight temps when rates let up.
-
Surface stays at about 33-35 immediate metro area.
-
Dc never loses 850s through 75...low offshore
-
At 66...light stuff moving in. Low just off ILM...850 south of ezf.
-
Shhhh...extended RGEM keeps arlington west below freezing for the duration on Wednesday
