LP08

Not that it matters much. Just happy to see a colder solution.

Maybe....a hit? It’s a full day and a half later than the euro but the GFS is close to getting it done.

Nice trend on the 18z gfs for the “Euro Storm”.

Let's see how people handle expectations for day 8 euro storm. I have high hopes! lol

It's getting tedious waiting for any colder air to arrive. Looks like after that storm there is some dropping behind it into the Midwest, but again that's another 10 day wait to see if its actually true. I'm still optimistic but we need to see it get under 10 days before we believe any colder air is truly coming. Wait and See!

I agree with this but those two chances in Jan were noticed through the ensembles as periods of interest and imo we were unlucky with the NS sws being perfectly timed to crush everything coming north. The one where it snowed in SW VA was because of the block and that little sucker pinwheeled down at the absolute wrong time, it happens. I think we have been in a favorable period and have been completely unlucky to not see anything. Definitely not a Hecs pattern but at least some winter could have happened during these two weeks of Jan.

LOL...that's quite the block.

GFS is back for the 18th. Mostly light stuff. Some marginally better snow down towards Richmond.

Get a nice cold light storm before the super blocked swfe monster cold air penetrating right through the region.

It’s getting funny at this point.

Icon has the 18th storm....It’s light but it’s snow.

They should probably try and cover Smith and probably not with a linebacker.

The Atlantic sure isn’t the problem...ten day caveats and all.

As you say...replace the H’s with the L’s and we are in great shape.

Better all the way around. Still tries to dump the trough out west near the end but it was a solid step towards the GEFS compared to 0z eight the EPO. We live to fight another day.

Icon gets precip to us but surface is torched. Also getting pretty sheared as it gets to the coast....on the GFS!

The ICON is the only global that is doing this (yes i know the ICON sucks but just for visualization).

Ok I'll say it. The Euro is no good for next week. Squashed and shredded.

H5 was an Improvement in my eyes. The NS SW that had been suppressing everything was further out front and the SS SW was slower allowing heights to build again. It just gets so messy with all the vorts flying around.

FWIW ICON.

Goodnight to all...

Light stuff makes it to dc at 138 but the storm just hits a wall and drifts east.

Maybe it’s just me but on the 0z GFS looks remarkably similar to this weekends storm for nexts week storm. Closed H5 low in the south and northern stream hammer crashing the party.

Should have had the gfs too. Icon as well with the same progression.

Seems to be a consensus among 12z to dive that NS vort behind the ss one.