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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. ICON throws some light some light snow on Thursday.
  2. Still tons of spread too. Some waves come out quicker and go south. I hope when we discuss ops at range we are not saying “that’s definitely going to happen”. I merely say what the run shows and not making any definite conclusions.
  3. GEFS through day 7 looks better than 6z. Ridge in the east that connects to the Greenland ridge is weaker.
  4. Gfs has the primary near Lake Michigan. Some frozen to start.
  5. Would have expected a little more resistance from moving north and flooding every level with warm air from this look.
  6. Pretty good consistency...get rid of that minor low north of the lakes and it’s a big hit.
  7. Snow-ish at 228. LP north of the lakes trying its best to screw it up
  8. I doubt the primary getting to Ohio before transferring with that look up top. Great run
  9. Just adding this to the "signal party". That's DCA, the means look better the further west you go.
  10. Look at the height lines....it’s a shredder north of us and has no room to amplify. 18z and 0z below.
  11. Suppressed south...no precip north of Ric ...interesting
  12. @psuhoffman Great post. Have a question though. I was digging through some of my older posts and have noticed a similarity with extended NAO looks. Below is 300+ hr forecast for the EPS gor Jan 13 showing a very nice west based block and fast forward to today and it is more centered as an east based NAO. It’s been the pattern it seems all winter. I’m curious to what too look for to make sure we get the retro west that has been seen in the past but failed so far through January.
  13. Saw some bagi-ness off the coast but def not until NJ...poorly worded on my part.
  14. Primary into Illinois with a transfer of some sort to off the mid Atlantic...woo blocking
  15. The ridge off the west coast through Alaska is too far west. Trough dumps in the west and we fight the SE ridge even with the favorable NAO and 50/50 low.
  16. Gfs op seems to think that we will be on the wrong side of the gradient through day 10.
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