LP08
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Everything posted by LP08
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Didn't see the CMC Kuchera map, for posterity of a true beat down.
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I made a post last night about the cmc and a mysterious blob of Max vorticity over pa that pulled the H5 Vort north. 0z had it, 12z does not.
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Best part about having kids is getting to eat chicken nuggets and Kraft Mac and cheese again...oh...and bagel bites!
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GFS is a great hit.
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GFS colder than 12z. Deform looks to hit DC and NE
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It always comes down to unrealistic expectations based on some Kuchera Snow map from range. I guarantee people still have that 30"+ euro run in their head and everything thing else is a disappointment. It happens every time we have a storm thread. It's annoying but it is what it is. Guidance looks pretty good for a very snowy day SUnday and I'm pretty stoked about it.
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Freezing line stays just east of 95 before crashing once the coastal takes over at 12z Monday. 850s are still issue however.
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Northern friends will like the tick north on the NAM.
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I’m telling friends 3-6 through Sunday and to flush ice cubes Sunday night for an additional 3-6 on Monday.
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Yeah. Main WAA goes through central va. Deform is dc and ne
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Wow...Ukie is a huge hit.
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Ukie is a central va jack with the WAA and deform through the area
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Gefs mean temps are quite warm. Over 1.2” of precip but barely 6” on the snow mean. I know we shouldn’t use mean temps but its something.
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I’m not as smart as most here but here is the CMC at 500. Seems like a suspicious Max vorticity that draws everything further north comparing to 12z. Maybe someone smarter can chime in.
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Just this panel alone. A strengthening storm off the coast and this is the northwest side of the precip?
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Thump, dry slot, deform. Sign me up
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Gfs deforms dc at 87
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Sleet line almost to dc by hour 72 on the NAM FWIW. Noticeably north from 18z.
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Need some omegas in my life.
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Too good not to post twice!
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EPS a smidge south of 12z through 84
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When has a ccb set up over dc and not through the “deathband cooridoor”. I can’t think of that ever happening. It will be where it will always be.
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Just think, you might get out of the dreaded Ellinwood Grey. Can you imagine that!?
