LP08
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Everything posted by LP08
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The only map that has loaded is the Kuchera. Every other panel is stuck at 23 hrs.
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Now you're trying too hard. Please link me to a LWX discussion where they EVER weigh those two. As someone said, the UKIE is great at nailing troughs in Islamabad but synoptically, its never trusted.
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Lol...rgem is still snowing at 0z Friday night. ETA: Saturday morning in the eastern areas.
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Maybe its a mix? Looks disruptive enough to cause issues but I'm not smart enough to decipher. Give me this radar and I'll take my chances I suppose.
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I Can't say I've seen a sleet sounding like this before. Cover your cars and wear a helmet.
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Damn close. I'm sure soundings will show it better.
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Another push south with the cold on the 0z Nam.
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He probably plotted the H in the wrong spot
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I laughed pretty good and also exactly what @Cobalt said.
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It’s the only reason we have any chance at all lol. The high position is not the reason we are flipping and not all snow. It’s practically ideal.
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Ugh. You’re right and I’m an idiot. Point remains lol.
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I don’t understand this post. The high is is in pretty good spot.
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Interesting is a lot nicer word than I would have used! Luckily it’s the only model really focusing that southern max of the initial push. I have a feeling that it will settle along a line from Winchester to northern Maryland, but without that dramatic drop in between.
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Yup. Longer duration too. All in all a better run for just about everyone.
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Definitely. That panel is wetter than 6z. I am resigned to the fact that we will mix (and probably mix earlier than models suggest) but everything on the EPS looked a hair colder.
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EPS colder and snowier for just about everyone than 6Z. This panel is money.
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Total Precip and all frozen north of Richmond.
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Or basically the Euro. Damnit, I'm turning into DT!
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You can set your watch to every storm that between the GFS and Euro run, people get contentious. Banterish first call. 2-4" snow/sleet through the "corridor" of us near the city. 4-8" NW and North of the line from Leesburg/Winchester to North of 495 in MD with local jackpots to 10".
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Through 51, DC is hanging on or close to the flip, but the damage has been done. Looks great if we believe it.
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At 45, main WAA slug is still positioned to go through the cities, compared to the NAM that has it further north in PA. Waiting on soundings for it
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Through 33, heights on the 12z gfs are slightly higher and the 700 temps are a little north. ULL north of NE is slightly further east.
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Probably a mix of Snow missiles and sleet bombs (Bob Chill quote I'm sure) if the rates materialize. Just gotta maximize the first 1-2 hours hopefully.
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3k looks like mostly sleet, no soundings yet but pushes 700 temps further north than 6z.
