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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. LP08
    123 over VA beach. Snow still from ezf north
  2. LP08
    Stalls on obx...big run incoming
  3. LP08
    117 ezf north all snow low over obx
  4. LP08
    Through 69, slightly higher heights through the Midwest, but I’m nitpicking.
  5. LP08
    Happens every storm since the existence of this forum. There is always that one run of whatever model, and everything else is no good.
  6. LP08
    Ukie is all front end. Ccb from the coastal is in New England
  7. LP08
    Using tropical tidbits, CMC is 6-12 through 150 with snow in the area still.
  8. LP08
    IF you want to feel better, Toggle back to previous runs of the gfs to 144 for Thursday. It had consistent runs (6 in row) of a shellacking for the area, then all of a sudden, boom south at about 90-96 hrs. I liked early on the run the slower ejection at H5 (@ravensrule) and better heights over the NE. Maybe ill die on this hill and be completely out to lunch, but we've seen it all winter.
  9. LP08
    93. Primary almost the exact same spot as 6z. Mod snow. Not much change at all.
  10. LP08
    81. Primary 2mb stronger than 6z entering MO. High pressure also stronger with the better confluence.
  11. LP08
    Through 57, GFS is slower out west with better confluence in the NE.
  12. LP08
    Color me skeptical that temps jump to 36 in the city with a cranking CCB overhead. If we rain with that, I'll jump on the same bridge PSU jumps off.
  13. LP08
    Here is Hour 90 on both the Euro and the GFS. H5 crossing into Illinois on the GFS and Euro has it SW on the MO/KS boarder. Again, over New England there is a huge difference in the strength of the confluence. FWIW (and not much at the end of the run), the Nam is in-between both of these.
  14. LP08
    Wild to see the slow movement and stall on almost all the members.
  15. LP08
    It tucks almost into Delaware on the control. I don’t care how cold it is beforehand, that will cause issues. Mean is definitely more tucked than 0z.
  16. LP08
    Didn’t see this posted. Good spot to be at 144.
  17. LP08
    Yeah. Confluence as a whole was better on both, I think (using that term loosely) that this could be the gfs liking to drive primaries way too far north. We saw it with Thursday where it wanted to get the storm into WVa before jumping.
  18. LP08
    Quite the difference....
  19. LP08
    GEFS has a stronger primary crossing through central ohio at 117.
  20. LP08
    Para gets the primary almost to Chicago before sliding east..don’t think that will work out to well other than some front end snow.
  21. LP08
    Decent thump to dry slot by 117
  22. LP08
    Primary in N KY and moving due west. Still snow from about ezf and north. At 111
  23. LP08
    Heavy stuff moving in by 108.
  24. LP08
    It was a mb or two stronger in the plains. Noise I know.
  25. LP08
    99...better confluence showing up in the NE
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