LP08
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Everything posted by LP08
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6z euro is 6+ from EZf north. 10+ dc north
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6z euro gets the ccb a little further south. Maybe we can stop the bleeding a little.
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But it’s #2 at 500! Can’t say I’ve ever said to myself after a storm...wow the Ukie sure nailed that one.
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There are places in Pa on the Ukie that get 3-5 inches where the cmc drops the 40” spot. Ukie is mostly central va with the WAA then the coastal deform is through the cities and NE. Well south of the cmc.
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Mostly Baltimore friends up to PSU, Losetoa6, and Mappy but we do alright.
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Just for posterity but goodness. Still some light snow falling too hah.
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I’ll post the kuchera map from weather bell when it loads for the cmc but holy hell.
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CMC is close to 8° colder at the surface compared to the gfs at 0z Monday.
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I’ve seen this movie before. I still think we do ok up here in regards to the WAA thump but being on the southern fringe of a developing ccb is usually a losing scenario. I think 6-8 is a safe call here.
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This is the fear I have...we miss the meat of the WAA and miss the ccb just NE. Still a good storm but it’s the way we fail near the city.
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Man I might melt down if I ended up in this donut...lol
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Best run yet.
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Seemed appropriate.
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I’d make a bet that dc doesn’t get to 38° on Monday at 7am.
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Gfs looks very similar to 12z. Major deform action into md and some into dc.
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Sooo...can us near DC crew complain now about the North movement on the EURO or is that only reserved for the northerners and south trends? Asking for a friend.
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Snow breaking out by 12z Sunday.
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H5 a little flatter than 6z. Heights slightly lower out in front at 45
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Didn't see the CMC Kuchera map, for posterity of a true beat down.
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I made a post last night about the cmc and a mysterious blob of Max vorticity over pa that pulled the H5 Vort north. 0z had it, 12z does not.
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Best part about having kids is getting to eat chicken nuggets and Kraft Mac and cheese again...oh...and bagel bites!
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GFS is a great hit.
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GFS colder than 12z. Deform looks to hit DC and NE
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It always comes down to unrealistic expectations based on some Kuchera Snow map from range. I guarantee people still have that 30"+ euro run in their head and everything thing else is a disappointment. It happens every time we have a storm thread. It's annoying but it is what it is. Guidance looks pretty good for a very snowy day SUnday and I'm pretty stoked about it.
