LP08
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Everything posted by LP08
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Just coming to post this. Here is the sounding at 27. If its off a half a degree either way could mean an extra inch or two and nothing but sleet.
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I've been saying to friends that 2-4 Snow/Sleet and then glacier with freezing drizzle afterwards. They are on me now with the warning text of 3-6 but im holding strong here in the Arlington/DC area.
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Trajectory of the precip from the SW on the 3k was better as well. It just doesn't send as much through the area before the column issues arise. 6z had it into PA.
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Seems like a precip issue to me than a "warmer" issue. Its not nearly as wet through 15z as the 12k. 700 winds looked to have backed off quite a bit as well compared to 6z. has about half the precip as the 3k has during the time when the column is supportive.
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Total precip while the column supports Snow-ish for us close in...Better North and West.
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Holding on for dear life. Ill take it.
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Nam maybe a tick colder through 12z. Sleet line through Stafford county. Any breathing room helps.
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Just illustrating the difference. I'm going to be extrapolating the radar like a mofo to see where its directed.
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It's all about that initial slug of WAA. That's the snow. HRRRRRRRR directs it right into the metros, some take it north, some take it south. Our accumulating snow chances are between 4am-10am.
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The only map that has loaded is the Kuchera. Every other panel is stuck at 23 hrs.
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Now you're trying too hard. Please link me to a LWX discussion where they EVER weigh those two. As someone said, the UKIE is great at nailing troughs in Islamabad but synoptically, its never trusted.
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Lol...rgem is still snowing at 0z Friday night. ETA: Saturday morning in the eastern areas.
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Maybe its a mix? Looks disruptive enough to cause issues but I'm not smart enough to decipher. Give me this radar and I'll take my chances I suppose.
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I Can't say I've seen a sleet sounding like this before. Cover your cars and wear a helmet.
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Damn close. I'm sure soundings will show it better.
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Another push south with the cold on the 0z Nam.
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He probably plotted the H in the wrong spot
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I laughed pretty good and also exactly what @Cobalt said.
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It’s the only reason we have any chance at all lol. The high position is not the reason we are flipping and not all snow. It’s practically ideal.
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Ugh. You’re right and I’m an idiot. Point remains lol.
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I don’t understand this post. The high is is in pretty good spot.
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Interesting is a lot nicer word than I would have used! Luckily it’s the only model really focusing that southern max of the initial push. I have a feeling that it will settle along a line from Winchester to northern Maryland, but without that dramatic drop in between.
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Yup. Longer duration too. All in all a better run for just about everyone.
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Definitely. That panel is wetter than 6z. I am resigned to the fact that we will mix (and probably mix earlier than models suggest) but everything on the EPS looked a hair colder.
