LP08
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Everything posted by LP08
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NAM is very Amped.
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Sign me up as well.
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Gfs keeps its thin stripe. A little north from 18z
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So the ICON isn’t terrible. Nice step
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The window is pretty closed for anything more than we have seen already. I think best case scenario is a broader precip shield with like .3-.4 qpf but the flow is so fast there is little margin for error and any step back in the orientation of that PV lobe (ie ICON) and we could be left with nothing.
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18z EPS a tick better. The euro was very close to a better solution with the sw a bit more south and west.
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Don't hate this look and its a bump up from 6z
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EPS looking a little better on the limited maps I can see on Pivotal. Further south mean of the LP off the coast and better 6hr qpf panels.
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This one is a little different than the previous waves we have tracked this year with the PV lobe, some phasing, etc. Small adjustments in the orientation and sharpness can change the on surface outcome (for better or worse). Lets dig that thing as far west as possible.
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Euro had the same trends at 500 that we saw on the GFS. Couple more ticks and the LP gets going sooner...
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I mean...if we can get the ao/nao domain to start latching on to this idea....I know...way out in la la land.
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To 20's Christmas morning! lol That -nao is trying
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Further west and sharper with the SW/PV interaction. Postive steps and vibes lol
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For future runs, watch the sharpness and how far west the SW can trend. Good signs the last couple of runs.
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Snows most of the day Friday, albeit light on both 3k and 12k
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Nam gets some light snow in on Friday, DC to the south at around 10.
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You get your Dusting-2" on Sunday! lol
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Totally un-scientific but this year, with the amount of cold built up in Canada (SE especially), is just totally different than years past. I remember we would get good tracks with Highs in the right spots but it would be 31 degrees in Toronto and would do us no good. I'd be willing to go out on a limb and say we get a region wide "good" one this year.
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Gfs has next Sunday again. And guess what, it’s a southern Va hit lol
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As a Tech Alum, couldn’t have happened to a better group of folks.
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That is a pretty wild H5 at hr 180 on the gfs lol
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Lol, light snow in arlington. Decent flakes
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Still snowing pretty well here in Arlington. Been steady since about 6am
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Grass cut to 1" makes it look like 4"
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Probably 1.5" here but too lazy to measure so take that for what its worth.
