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LP08

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  1. LP08
    The 84hr map on most of the models is a headache leading into Sunday. Would take some pretty damn perfect timing to get the Southern Vort up here. NS off the coast pressing heights, NS behind/over top compressing them. Need better spacing for it all to work. GFS still with the "closest look", then UKMET, then NAM, then EURO, then CMC.
  2. LP08
    “Welcome to Crypto Field in beautiful Frederick Md for Commander football!”
  3. LP08
    Don’t like the changes out in front over the last three runs.
  4. LP08
    Hey Will, could you post the Vort map at 90 when it gets out that far? Thanks!
  5. LP08
    12z Friday: Nam 58 GFS 32 Euro 35
  6. LP08
    Maybe will warm sector and get some thunder on the NAM.
  7. LP08
    18z Thursday for DC: NAM 39 GFS 47 Euro 52 3k 38
  8. LP08
    I know its been stated but the NAM is 10-15 degrees cooler tomorrow afternoon comparing to the GFS/HRRR.
  9. LP08
    Also, there are like a zillion vorts it seems so trying to key on the right one more the a few days out seems difficult. That gif that showed the southern vort go from Amarillo to Texarkana at hour 96 (497 miles, yes I looked it up lol). That to me is a massive shift in a time frame that the euro doesn't usually do that.
  10. LP08
    Take a look at this GIF. Euro was closer to getting that southern vort out in front. That was a huge shift from 0z.
  11. LP08
    Main difference i see between the Euro and GFS for the Sunday thing is the NS sw coming in through the NW. GFS is slower and dives behind the southern vort. Euro sends it in tandem over the top thus not allowing it to amplify.
  12. LP08
    Just some minor details between the two to iron out before Sunday
  13. LP08
    DC goes from 44 at hour 90 to 30 at 96.
  14. LP08
    At least we don’t all drink…oh wait
  15. LP08
    Don’t hate the radar as much anymore
  16. LP08
    Better flakes currently than the last couple hours…maybe 0.5” or so here in Arlington
  17. LP08
    Looks like it’s really about to get going on the coast and through the Delmarva. Really need to chase one of these one time.
  18. LP08
    Band south east of the beltway is legit
  19. LP08
    Not going to lie, I was/am looking forward to watching TWC live shots from up there. Hopefully just a 12z blip for them.
  20. LP08
    Wow. Thanks for this. At 500 everything looked a tick better, but now looking at 700 and 850 you can see why it initially escapes east as those 2 levels weren't as sharp.
  21. LP08
    Euro, GFS, and now the Nam showing a dual low and elongation of everything before H5 catches up. Tricky forecast up north of here through NYC.
  22. LP08
    Downgraded to an advisory for being a dumbA**. Lol
  23. LP08
    Through 9....i am Issuing a "Don't believe (but actually believe) what the Nam about to show Watch" in affect for the area.
  24. LP08
    So the NAM is right! Thanks!
  25. LP08
    You laugh, I buy it dinner.
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